Game Thread GAME# 31: BLAZERS @ NUGGETS - FEBRUARY 23, 2021 - TUESDAY, 7:00, TNT

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Do you think Dame will shoot from half court this season (not in an end-of-the-clock scenario) ?


  • Total voters
    31
  • Poll closed .
Players are moving and Dame is hitting them in scoring positions. Dame don't have to score all the time and this showing that other players can help in that department. Jones and Trent having good offense games right now.
 
Early prediction:

Portland is up 4 and thinks that Denver will roll over.

Denver won't and will go on a quick run to take back the lead.
 
His shot hasn't been there, and some weird TOs to start the game, but 10 assists in 19 minutes is pretty good. He's still impacting the game.
Hes been pretty beat up with nagging hurts!
He’s got alot of miles!
 
Early prediction:

Portland is up 4 and thinks that Denver will roll over.

Denver won't and will go on a quick run to take back the lead.

I think the last part is a safe bet. Not sure about us thinking they'll roll over.
 
DJJ doing damage at the rim all night
 
I've notice that if Jokic is open, he scores.
 
Would be nice if the offensive system could generate Dame some looks or driving lanes...
 
Certainly not from playing big minutes last night.
Denver is the toughest 2nd game location in the league. Regardless of what team is playing. These dudes got into their hotel rooms at 3am. They’re beat. This is why I said we would lose this game by 20.
 
I agree that it was a good challenge to take away 3 FTA. I think their point is that there is additional calculas to factor in:

1) Trent's FT%
2) Odds you'll win the jump ball (let's say it's 50%).
3) Average PPP you give up. (approx 1.1)
4) No ability challenge at the end of the game.
5) One less personal foul on Murray

I think the math was correct for Denver to challenge.

Trent's expected outcome = 2.3 points - 50% of 1.1 = expected value of 1.7 points saved on the challenge.

Yup. Plus a team foul is on average worth about 0.2 points above and beyond any FTA though I don’t remember where they were in the team foul situation. It would be rare that a challenge is worth that much especially since that one was sure to succeed and most aren’t.
 
Dame with the (B)laser accurate 3 pointer!
 
Jones is really an impressive defender on those guys that like to use screens.
 

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