blazerkor
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I really think there are a lot of things that would have to happen that are between unlikely and just not going to happen. We can't be a contender with these two guards. Dame's defense is so weak that he needs a defensive specialist back there with him and Ant will never be that. So this first step probably falls under "just not going to happen" but we need Ant to have a big season that pushes his value up and then sign and trade him to a team that really needs a young lead guard with big time offense for a big 3 and D two guard.
We need Nas to come back healthy and shooting a little more consistently, this one is actually pretty likely.
We need to get lucky and win the number one pick which is highly unlikely and means the tank needs to be fully on because I think Jabari Smith will be ready from day one to make a huge impact on this team with his combination of length, athleticism, ability to put it on the floor, defensive instincts on the perimeter, weak side shot blocking and distance shooting, he's the perfect front court pairing with Nurk.
We need the Pelicans pick to convey to us as high as possible and we need to knock it out of the park.
Both picks need to be contributors next season and that is also highly unlikely but could be done.
We need to use the remaining cap space to put one or two more really solid contributors on the bench.
The rotation will have to be Dame, 3 and D guy from Ant trade, Nas or a better SF if there was one that we could land in free agency or with the Pelicans pick, Jabari, Nurk, just looking at the draft our Pelicans pick will likely be a wing so either that wing or Nas, FA front court player, FA guard that can instigate the offense but can also defend multiple positions, hopefully some of our young guys that will get a lot of opportunity this season and we have control of Trendon, GB3, Keon and maybe even Didi really pop and can provide the rest of the depth we need.
or
There is also the possibility Josh Hart could be that 3 and D big guard next to Dame then that would only cost us 13M. Now for really unlikely: If Ant just has a massive end to the season and the Celtics keep sucking (compared to their expectations) and we can get someone they like with the Pelicans pick maybe S&T Ant+Pelicans pick to the Celtics for Jaylen Brown... I know it's crazy talk but maybe just maybe. Let's say Nurk re-signs for 15-18M for that first season. With the new cap the first pick Jabari Parker would make about 10M. We have Nas, Justise, Keon, Didi and Greg making a total of 15M. We could probably re-sign Trendon for starting at 3M. So that's 10 guys at 128M that we've spent not having signed anyone but our players and picks. Since we didn't use any free cap space to sign another free agent we would have the full 12M MLE and might be able to get Tyus Jones for that. Then fill out the roster with three min level guy but they should be young GLeaguers and undrafted free agents at 1M a piece. That would make Vulcan really happy because it would put us right at 143M when the tax will start at 145M.
PG: Dame, Tyus
SG: Hart, Keon
SF: Jaylen, Nas, Justice
PF: Jabari, GB3
C: Nurk, Trendon
I left Didi and the three min level young guys off the depth chart because they won't play much at all. I know that is a very unlikely rotation but it's not completely impossible. If it happened that would be a deep 11 man rotation with two all stars in Dame and Jaylen and a guy that will probably be rookie of the year in Jabari. That team could contend as early as next year but so much would have to go right for us.
These scenarios I came up with are outlandish fantasies, they're not completely impossible but they are highly highly unlikely and highlight just how unlikely it is that we build a contender around Dame and I don't think the organization agrees with me about Dame and Ant, so I actually think that makes building a contender around Dame impossible. So my real expectation is that we re-sign or match an offer on Ant for a little too much, we re-sign Nurk for a little too much, we get two guys that need development in the draft. We strike out with the attempts to get an impact free agent or an impact guy through an unbalanced trade and use our cap space on someone youngish, overpaid and underwhelming. That result to the off season will get Cronin fired and an outside GM hired. It will also put Dame on the edge and after it becomes apparent that the team isn't built to contend and that him and Ant are about as complementary as him and CJ were, Dame will ask out pretty early in the season which will be granted to him buy the deadline. Let's just hope we get a really nice haul for him.
We will still have Ant, Nas, GB3, two new lottery picks and most likely Trendon to go around what is hopefully something special we get for Dame. Hopefully we'll also dump Nurk for draft assets and an expiring or young players. That will be a real reset.
I guess the big question at that point becomes what year will Chicago finally get our pick?
We need Nas to come back healthy and shooting a little more consistently, this one is actually pretty likely.
We need to get lucky and win the number one pick which is highly unlikely and means the tank needs to be fully on because I think Jabari Smith will be ready from day one to make a huge impact on this team with his combination of length, athleticism, ability to put it on the floor, defensive instincts on the perimeter, weak side shot blocking and distance shooting, he's the perfect front court pairing with Nurk.
We need the Pelicans pick to convey to us as high as possible and we need to knock it out of the park.
Both picks need to be contributors next season and that is also highly unlikely but could be done.
We need to use the remaining cap space to put one or two more really solid contributors on the bench.
The rotation will have to be Dame, 3 and D guy from Ant trade, Nas or a better SF if there was one that we could land in free agency or with the Pelicans pick, Jabari, Nurk, just looking at the draft our Pelicans pick will likely be a wing so either that wing or Nas, FA front court player, FA guard that can instigate the offense but can also defend multiple positions, hopefully some of our young guys that will get a lot of opportunity this season and we have control of Trendon, GB3, Keon and maybe even Didi really pop and can provide the rest of the depth we need.
or
There is also the possibility Josh Hart could be that 3 and D big guard next to Dame then that would only cost us 13M. Now for really unlikely: If Ant just has a massive end to the season and the Celtics keep sucking (compared to their expectations) and we can get someone they like with the Pelicans pick maybe S&T Ant+Pelicans pick to the Celtics for Jaylen Brown... I know it's crazy talk but maybe just maybe. Let's say Nurk re-signs for 15-18M for that first season. With the new cap the first pick Jabari Parker would make about 10M. We have Nas, Justise, Keon, Didi and Greg making a total of 15M. We could probably re-sign Trendon for starting at 3M. So that's 10 guys at 128M that we've spent not having signed anyone but our players and picks. Since we didn't use any free cap space to sign another free agent we would have the full 12M MLE and might be able to get Tyus Jones for that. Then fill out the roster with three min level guy but they should be young GLeaguers and undrafted free agents at 1M a piece. That would make Vulcan really happy because it would put us right at 143M when the tax will start at 145M.
PG: Dame, Tyus
SG: Hart, Keon
SF: Jaylen, Nas, Justice
PF: Jabari, GB3
C: Nurk, Trendon
I left Didi and the three min level young guys off the depth chart because they won't play much at all. I know that is a very unlikely rotation but it's not completely impossible. If it happened that would be a deep 11 man rotation with two all stars in Dame and Jaylen and a guy that will probably be rookie of the year in Jabari. That team could contend as early as next year but so much would have to go right for us.
These scenarios I came up with are outlandish fantasies, they're not completely impossible but they are highly highly unlikely and highlight just how unlikely it is that we build a contender around Dame and I don't think the organization agrees with me about Dame and Ant, so I actually think that makes building a contender around Dame impossible. So my real expectation is that we re-sign or match an offer on Ant for a little too much, we re-sign Nurk for a little too much, we get two guys that need development in the draft. We strike out with the attempts to get an impact free agent or an impact guy through an unbalanced trade and use our cap space on someone youngish, overpaid and underwhelming. That result to the off season will get Cronin fired and an outside GM hired. It will also put Dame on the edge and after it becomes apparent that the team isn't built to contend and that him and Ant are about as complementary as him and CJ were, Dame will ask out pretty early in the season which will be granted to him buy the deadline. Let's just hope we get a really nice haul for him.
We will still have Ant, Nas, GB3, two new lottery picks and most likely Trendon to go around what is hopefully something special we get for Dame. Hopefully we'll also dump Nurk for draft assets and an expiring or young players. That will be a real reset.
I guess the big question at that point becomes what year will Chicago finally get our pick?
