I am 100% Certain we will win 42+ games next year

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Orion Bailey

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In honor of Stren and how he stuck to what he believed, I am throwing this out there.

Say what you will, could have, or couldn't have won with LMA.... he is gone. I personally thought we might have had a chance this year, if he allowed us to hunt the market together to find the third star, but that's over.

Damian is a winner. He is not going to tank a season. Neil has (quietly, though fighting through a massive shit storm of PR crazyness) quickly put together a very promising, young and athletic group, that has a couple gaps to fill with the money left from LMA.

Some people are thinking the new guys we acquired are trade bait, but I disagree with exception of Henderson.
Henderson may be used in tandem with Kaman to acquire one more decent piece.
DO NOT EXPECT THIS PIECE TO BE AN ALL STAR!!!!

We all know we cant sign free agents, so there is really no point (especially with none of the big names fitting this new mold) in wasting time tossing an offer sheet in the face of names like Gasol and LBJ.

We would be best going after a couple more younger, potential role players, that are still available. Sign them to short 2 year deals. Let this team compete from within as well as in the NBA. Let Stotts mix and match and find the 5 that play the best together. Then at the trade deadline, deal the ones that haven't fit in and play the trade game.

The team as it stands will be able to run with anyone and lock down on most teams inside and out. Much more P&R ability as well and aley oops and in the paint scoring with perimeter defense.

If there is one thing I still have 100% trust in Olshey, it's his eye for potential talent and his ability to not overpay and sign bad contracts. Every offer that has been accepted so far has been a good contract. I have faith he will continue to do so, because he really has no other choice. PA wont overpay AND lose.

Yes, Olshey played us, played the media, but mostly played the other teams as well. He couldn't play the other teams if he didn't also play the media nad us. In my opinion he did the best thing he could do under the circumstances.

If you add all these factors in, I see us coming up on.500 ball by the all star break and improving over the second half of the year.

Neil has now shown his full deck. Some people are asking s where to from here. You don't see it? He has a 5 year plan and has his #1. From what I see so far, he has done everything right to kick this 5 year plan off in a positive, winning direction.

If I have to eat crow, I certainly will, but I wont have to. ;)

I believe!
 
I think it's going to be hard to win 30 games.

Only two players on the roster can create their own shot.

Not a single frontcourt player can do that. Vonleh has a chance but he's still a few years away.
 
I think it's going to be hard to win 30 games.

Only two players on the roster can create their own shot.

Not a single frontcourt player can do that. Vonleh has a chance but he's still a few years away.

You dont see more opportunity for better P&R and lobbing over double teams now? I do. This team still has the outside threat with CJ, Leonard, Crabbe, Wright, and Dame. Dame and CJ can get around most one on ones and force a double team if they dont like what they see from the three. I see alot of 3 pt spotting, fake and drive to get the double team and dishing ff to our centers fr quick dunks and layups from Davis and Plumlee. If we instill a good team defensive strategy, I see this team being top half of the league in defense. We will also get alot of breakout buckets on the run. More athletic and better spacing on the floor can be taught.

The ideal in all honesty, is to go about .500 while excelling the second half as players start to blossom, not make the playoffs and retain our pick, then fill in the pieces to make a contender for the next five years. I really think this has been Olshey's plan all along as plan B if LMA left.
 
I hope we don't. The current plan needs to be to play young guys, get a lotto pick, and hopefully sign someone good next summer with our cap space.
 
I hope we don't. The current plan needs to be to play young guys, get a lotto pick, and hopefully sign someone good next summer with our cap space.

Your flaw. Didnt we just learn the i names dont want to come here unless forced through trade?
 
Unless lightning strikes, the blazers will be getting a top 5ish pick.

I'm cool with that.

If this team, as is, wins 41 games? That means 3 or 4 youngins stepped up big time. Like MIP.

I'm cool with that too.
 
You dont see more opportunity for better P&R and lobbing over double teams now? I do. This team still has the outside threat with CJ, Leonard, Crabbe, Wright, and Dame. Dame and CJ can get around most one on ones and force a double team if they dont like what they see from the three. I see alot of 3 pt spotting, fake and drive to get the double team and dishing ff to our centers fr quick dunks and layups from Davis and Plumlee. If we instill a good team defensive strategy, I see this team being top half of the league in defense. We will also get alot of breakout buckets on the run. More athletic and better spacing on the floor can be taught.

The ideal in all honesty, is to go about .500 while excelling the second half as players start to blossom, not make the playoffs and retain our pick, then fill in the pieces to make a contender for the next five years. I really think this has been Olshey's plan all along as plan B if LMA left.

Teams will take that shit away faster than you can blink. We have zero spacing, because we lack shooting, which means teams will be able to mostly just sit back and clog the lane, which removes the P&R threat, also I think you can expect teams to blitz the hell out of Lillard any time he touches the ball with double and triple teams to keep him off balance.

So if you want a prediction, I've got one. Lillard's shooting percentages are going to suffer and he's going to probably have to take 5 more shots per game, a lot of those are going to be completely contested. Additionally this team will be lucky to win 20 games.
 
Put your money where your mouth is. Clear out your life savings, get a new mortgage, max out cash advances, head to Vegas and bet it all on the Blazers. I'm sure the over/under will be far fewer than 42 wins.
 
Your flaw. Didnt we just learn the i names dont want to come here unless forced through trade?

There are players that want to come here. If Dame continues to climb the ladder, people will want to play with him. Who the fuck would have wanted to play in Cleveland before LeBron got there?
 
Fans will fall in love with Gerald Henderson you just wait and see!
 
There are players that want to come here. If Dame continues to climb the ladder, people will want to play with him. Who the fuck would have wanted to play in Cleveland before LeBron got there?

Only if thier first second and third options don't pan out. Didn't LMA just have this opportunity and turned it down? Didn't Monroe have an opportunity of being part of a big three and he turned that down?

No matter how good Lillard gets, I don't see another All Star wanting to come here unless what he have blossoms and a Second star is found. The only way a star signs to Portland, is if they truly believe they are the FINAL piece in the puzzle.
 
I think it's going to be hard to win 30 games.

Only two players on the roster can create their own shot.

Not a single frontcourt player can do that. Vonleh has a chance but he's still a few years away.

So you don't consider Legend standing out at the 3-point line (unguarded, because the PF or C guarding him won't travel out that far) creating his own shot??

Fair enough, I suppose.
 
Put your money where your mouth is. Clear out your life savings, get a new mortgage, max out cash advances, head to Vegas and bet it all on the Blazers. I'm sure the over/under will be far fewer than 42 wins.

I think Stren has already been round and round on.. if your life is on the line... bit, so I wont rehash why I also wont mortgage either one of my houses, let alone take my savings out on a bet.

With that said, I am down for small wagers to vets of the board that I know wont be gone in a few months. :)
Name the wager....
 
With what we paid and with the other guys we brought in at PF/C, if he isn't the primary starter at SF, I'd be a bit concerned about where we are headed.

But yeah, I can see him at PF at times when we're going a little smaller.
 
Orion,

I invite you to the last game of the Blazer season to sit with me in MGB's seats. If they finish .500, it is on me. If not, you pay for both tickets at market rate.

Who is MGB and why would he give up the seats? lol.

Also is the last game at home? I am fairly certain I wouldn't be able to travel.

With that said, Brilliant offer my man, brilliant offer! If its genuine and we are in town, I will gladly accept!
 
With what we paid and with the other guys we brought in at PF/C, if he isn't the primary starter at SF, I'd be a bit concerned about where we are headed.

But yeah, I can see him at PF at times when we're going a little smaller.

He will be our starter at SF more than likely. I think people will love his other qualities but would gladly take Nic's inconsistent shooting.
 
Who is MGB and why would he give up the seats? lol.

Also is the last game at home? I am fairly certain I wouldn't be able to travel.

With that said, Brilliant offer my man, brilliant offer! If its genuine and we are in town, I will gladly accept!
Hey noob he's dead and was one of the biggest homers in here
 
He will be our starter at SF more than likely. I think people will love his other qualities but would gladly take Nic's inconsistent shooting.

I agree. I think Olshey plans for him to be the starter and see if he improves over the season so he can assess the position long term next year.
I think this year is all about trial and error and mix matching puzzle pieces. I also think this will get us some wins, because other teams wont be able to properly scout. We will be the dark horse know one knows about and slide in under the radar most nights.
 
Hey noob he's dead and was one of the biggest homers in here

Damn. Guess I called myself out a bit. lol. Ive been reading a couple years though and don't recall the name.

And dammit one day I wont be a noob!!!!
 
MGB was a moderator here and a great contributor. He had handicapped seats in the Lexus level that many on the board took advantage of. He passed away and I have been working with his wife to keep the rights to the seats for her. It works out great for me since I have access to them for every game. Works out great for her since she still has the rights to them when she is able to take the account back as well as not worrying about market fluctuations. She already got a nice bonus for next year even though demand is sure to be lower than the past couple of seasons.

I was meaning the season finale in Portland. Whether we finish .500 should be pretty clear by then. If we finish on the road and the bet is not resolved, we can figure something out.
 
Don't get me wrong, I love Damian and he is truly the leader this team and city deserves...but he's not dumb enough to say "we're not tanking this season!" and try to win a bunch of games...remember he was starting when we purposefully tanked the last 14 games to keep the pick and draft CJ.

He just signed a brand new deal and I guarantee you that Olshey has the same convo he had with LA when he came aboard--asking him to be patient and give him a season or two to gather talent and then compete with a strong roster.

I'm sorry to wreck everyone's dreams but unless we absolutely luck into a deal for a superstar we are AT LEAST missing the playoffs the next two years. Neil is going to want to keep those 1st rounders and the West is just too strong to try and win with a team that's not ready.

If we can be the Utah Jazz of last season in two seasons I'd consider it a successful rebuild and start to something special.
 
Don't get me wrong, I love Damian and he is truly the leader this team and city deserves...but he's not dumb enough to say "we're not tanking this season!" and try to win a bunch of games...remember he was starting when we purposefully tanked the last 14 games to keep the pick and draft CJ.

He just signed a brand new deal and I guarantee you that Olshey has the same convo he had with LA when he came aboard--asking him to be patient and give him a season or two to gather talent and then compete with a strong roster.

I'm sorry to wreck everyone's dreams but unless we absolutely luck into a deal for a superstar we are AT LEAST missing the playoffs the next two years. Neil is going to want to keep those 1st rounders and the West is just too strong to try and win with a team that's not ready.

If we can be the Utah Jazz of last season in two seasons I'd consider it a successful rebuild and start to something special.

Bro, your sig...
 
MGB was a moderator here and a great contributor. He had handicapped seats in the Lexus level that many on the board took advantage of. He passed away and I have been working with his wife to keep the rights to the seats for her. It works out great for me since I have access to them for every game. Works out great for her since she still has the rights to them when she is able to take the account back as well as not worrying about market fluctuations. She already got a nice bonus for next year even though demand is sure to be lower than the past couple of seasons.

I was meaning the season finale in Portland. Whether we finish .500 should be pretty clear by then. If we finish on the road and the bet is not resolved, we can figure something out.


Ahhh, thanks for the insight. and your right. Final home game will probably be answered. Lets do it if your able to secure and thank MGB's wife for me please! :)
 

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