I tightening race. Trump = Carson, Hillary just above Sanders

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Further

Guy
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The new WSJ/NBC poll has Trump and Carson basically tied at 21% and 20% respectively, and on the Democratic side Hillary is just 7 points up on Sanders.

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/nbc-wsj-poll-2016-gop-race-n433991

In third place on the Republican side is a tie between Fiorina and Rubio, meaning that three of the top contenders, holding over 50% of the vote are outsiders, having never held an elective office.
 
Further said:
The new WSJ/NBC poll has Trump and Carson basically tied at 21% and 20% respectively, and on the Democratic side Hillary is just 7 points up on Sanders.

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/nbc-wsj-poll-2016-gop-race-n433991

In third place on the Republican side is a tie between Fiorina and Rubio, meaning that three of the top contenders, holding over 50% of the vote are outsiders, having never held an elective office.
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6.5% margin of error. 4% is considered very questionable. It's funny because the polls keep having lower and lower participants. The ones that have less margin of error and more than 500 participants tell a much different story.
 
dviss1 said:
That's a great find. Shameful of the Corporatists...
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Yeah and that's why I don't take heart to these biased polls. They can sway it anyway they please. Who knows, maybe Bernie is even closer with a staggering 6.5% margin of error. That could be a 13 point swing
 
dviss1 said:
That's a great find. Shameful of the Corporatists...
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It's not that great of a find, because it's likely wrong (don't have the actual poll results, so hard to say for sure).
Most likely the pollsters did exactly what they suggested they did - just took Biden's voters, split them up based on their second choice, and added them to the non-Biden voters.
There's nothing in the data presented to suggest otherwise.

barfo
 
magnifier661 said:
Yeah and that's why I don't take heart to these biased polls. They can sway it anyway they please. Who knows, maybe Bernie is even closer with a staggering 6.5% margin of error. That could be a 13 point swing
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and that, once again is why I never give poles much weight in my view of public opinion
 
riverman said:
and that, once again is why I never give poles much weight in my view of public opinion
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There are plenty of good unbiased polls out there. For example: state polls usually are more telling about who they vote for. Reuters is good as well.
 
I fail to see the problem. Biden's 17 percentage points were distributed 11 to Clinton, 3 to Bernie, 1 to O'Malley, 1 to Other, and 1 to None. Total 17. What is the problem?
 
The problem is that conservatives are stupid, so they can't separate the logical from the illogical, so they play Follow the Leader and worship anyone who acts authoritarian.
 
Incidentally, I love this line (about Nate Silver) from the comments section on that silly conservativetreehouse link.

He’s widely thought of as an expert, but I believe he is a Democrat.
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barfo
 
jlprk said:
I fail to see the problem. Biden's 17 percentage points were distributed 11 to Clinton, 3 to Bernie, 1 to O'Malley, 1 to Other, and 1 to None. Total 17. What is the problem?
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Wrong... The answer was 53% of Biden's 17% which is 9. That is a 4 point switch
 
magnifier661 said:
Wrong... The answer was 53% of Biden's 17% which is 9. That is a 4 point switch
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There's no evidence that is the correct interpretation, just a conspiracy theorist making assumptions.

barfo
 
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