My quick/dirty evaluation of the Celtics' offseason roster turnover.
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(If I switch Smart and Brown in the 2018 chart, it looks even worse, IMO)
Disagreements? Basically looks to me like they've upgraded their starting lineup, but their bench quality appears to have taken a pretty significant hit, especially in the frontcourt. Unless Tatum/Ojeleye are both quality players from day 1, they're going to be extremely reliant on Hayward.
BOS was one of the worst rebounding teams in the league last season, and by far the worst rebounding team to make the playoffs. It really was their biggest weakness last year.
Which makes it surprising the would include Zizic in this trade. They now only have two players on their roster taller than 6'9" - Al Horford and Aron Baynes, both 6'10" and both also 31 years old.
None of Amir Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Tyler Zeller, Jonas Jerebco or Jordan Mickey were great rebounders, but they were all SIGNIFICANTLY better than Marcus Morris. Hell, even Avery Bradley and Jae Crowder are better rebounders than Marcus Morris, and like the other five they are also gone.
Right now, BOS looks to have, by a wide margin, the worst rebounding starting front court in the history of the NBA with Al Horford (TRB% = 11.8) and Marcus Morris (TRB% = 7.8). Just to put that into proper perspective that Blazers fans can relate to: Meyers Leonard career TRB% = 13.0.
They could, I suppose, move Horford to starting PF and start Baynes at C, but that leaves them with no rebounding off the bench and forces them to play 6'9" rookie Daniel Theis at back up center. In his one year of college ball, Jayson Tatum was a good rebounder, for a SF, but Kyrie is nearly as bad (TRB = 5.0) on the glass as Isaiah Thomas (TRB% = 4.4). Hayward and Smart are average, at best, rebounders for their positions. So, they won't be getting much help on the glass from anyone else.
At first glance, it appears that Danny Ainge gave up on winning now, realizing he can't get past the Cavs, and certainly not the Warriors. So, he's decided to start building for the future around Jalen Brown, Jayson Tatum and Kyrie Irving. If that's the plan, why throw all that money at Gordon Hayward and why include the BRK pick in this trade? More importantly, who are their C and PF of the future?
I know Ainge landed the best player in this trade, but he has given up so much in terms of defense, depth and size this summer that right now, the Boston Celtics look like a rich man's version of the Brooklyn Nets. Their complete lack of size will kill them, especially in the post season. While replacing one all star with two looks good on paper, BOS is a weaker team heading into this season than they were last. They still have more than enough talent to make the playoffs in the historically weak Eastern Conference, but they won't be the No. 1 seed and don't pose any kind of threat to the top teams in the East, let alone the West.
BNM