I think Brogdon gets the most value from the east. Bucks set the first domino by trading for Dame and making themselves the favorite. Celtics overpay for Holiday to get within neck-and-neck of the Bucks. The two obvious teams viable for Brogdon are the 6ers and Heat. Cronin should do everything in his power to pull 2 1sts from a trade with either team.
With the Heat, you have to wonder how confident they are that they can beat the Bucks with 4 years of Dame and Celtics with a re-signed Jrue. If they want to compete with those two teams with Jimmy exiting his prime, Cronin needs to capitalize on their desperate times—‘28 and ‘30 unprotected 1sts. Trade Brogdon’s $22.5m, take back Robinson’s remaining $18m (around $20m for two more seasons after that) + filler, give them multiple 2nds.
If it’s the 6ers and they desperately need to make sure Embiid doesn’t ask out, Brogdon and multiple 2nds for Harden and 1 unprotected 1st, then send Harden to the Clips for an unprotected 1st. ORR…could we flip Harden and more 2nds to the Heat for Robinson’s contract and the 2 unprotected 1sts?
Bulls for some reason keep popping up in all this. Brogdon + 2nds for Ball + our 1st back for a top 10 protected 1st in ‘27 (top 4 in ‘28, unprotected in ‘29). Then we wait on Ball to get healthy and do another round of extracting another asset out of him. If anything, his injury gives the 3 guards a chance to take all the minutes this year, and then he is the perfect backup 1-3 behind Scoot and Shae when/if Ant is traded next summer.