Re: The Nazr Mohammed / Nicolas Batum question
Wallace has had to try to carry a bad team every year. Much like Brandon is carrying the Blazers right now. Brandon Roy has only played over 70 games 1 out of his 3 first years. Would you turn him down? That's what I thought.
Brandon played 74 games last year. That's once in the 2 full years he has been in the league. Crash has never played 74 games in a season in the 7 full seasons he was in the league - and will not get to this mark this year as well...
Going over their career - Brandon played in 83% of the games he was under contract during his career, Crash is at 70%
Brandon is not a model of health - but his health (and impact) are much higher than Crash.
Sorry - but the SF of the future of this team looks like Batum. Yes, he is young and inconsistent and effective only 50% of the time - Crash would be great - but since he is only effective for 70% of the time (assuming that he always is good when he plays - which is not really the case - but let's make this assumption) - the upgrade is not as big as you think.
So - you look down the road and ask yourself - when is this team going to contend? This year (no, with or without Crash), next year? (Unlikely), a year after that? (there is a decent chance, I would say).
So - two years down the road - do you think there is a chance that Batum will be effective 70% of the time (given that he is effective 50% of the time now as a rook)? I think there is a great chance he will be effective more than 70% of the time - which makes him a better (much much better) long-term prospect than Crash.
Love to have Crash on this roster. Would be happy to give Webster for him - but not Batum.