I projected a couple weeks ago that the Blazers might wind up in a four-way tie at the end of the season with Utah, Dallas, and Houston. So I'm checking how the teams are doing on their pace to finish as I predicted. (I had Phoenix in the mix, too, and predicting that they'd remain a few games back, and out of the playoffs.)
Blazers are 5-2 since this post... I somehow double-counted a game in my earlier post, and in reality, I was predicting the Blazers would need to go 13-8. After going 5-2, the Blazers have to finish 8-6 the rest of the way. I think they'll finish more like 9-5, and wind up 52-30. Quite respectable.
Rockets, with a slightly tougher schedule, go 11-9.
The Rockets are also 5-2 since the March 7th post. That's overachieving, compared to where I thought they'd be. They need only go 6-7 to reach 51 wins. Considering how they're playing right now, I think they'll go 8-5, and wind up 53-29.
The Jazz with a schedule about as tough as Portland's, go 12-8.
Since March 7th, the Jazz are .500, at 3-3, including consecutive ugly road losses. Considering their bad fortunes on the road, I'm revising my prediction downward for Utah, and anticipating they end the season 6-8, with a final record of 48-34.
The Suns finish 12-8, as well.
The Suns are 2-3 since March 7th, putting a ton of pressure on them to compete for the last spot. I think the best they can really hope for is 10-5, which would put them at the 46-36 end of season record I predicted, and therefore, 9th in the West.
And the Mavericks, with what looks like the easiest schedule of all of them, go 14-6.
The Mavs have gone 4-2 - with a loss at Golden State. They don't have much margin for error if they want to get 51+ wins. They'll need to go 10-4 the rest of the way... and with home games against Denver, Utah, and Houston, road games against Atlanta and Cleveland, and a home-and-home with New Orleans, it doesn't look as easy as I might've thought a couple weeks ago. I bet instead, the Mavericks go .500, and finish 7-7, putting them at 48-34.
So, that would add up to this (assuming the Nuggets and Hornets stay in the top four):
5.) Houston
6.) Portland
7.) Utah
8.) (tie-breaker - conference record?) Dallas
I actually feel pretty confident that what appears above will be how it shakes out.