OT NBA season suspended & NCAA cancelling all sports for coronavirus

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wizenheimer said:
ok then:


5e5fc740fee23d14eb3dd212


https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-compared-to-flu-mortality-rates-2020-3

it's a bit of a chore to get to an apples and apples comparison because the age breakdowns are different. For flu, in the 18-49 group the mortality rate is .02%. In a similar age group of C-19, it's about .27% (averaging 3 brackets)

if you have 100,000 people in that 18-49 age group infected with either virus...the deaths from flu would be 20; the deaths from C-19 would be 270.

if you have 100,000 people in the 50-64 age group infected with either virus...the deaths from flu would be 60; the deaths from C-19 would be about 2100

yeah, that's right, you're saying 20 deaths are about the same as 270 deaths; and that 60 deaths are about the same as 2100. Combining the two, that's 80 deaths vs 2370 deaths; and that's for people with ages from 18-65. That's a lot of age profiles

and that's one hell of a "bad flu"
Click to expand...

Jesus Christ.

Let me make this more simple.

If it’s less than 2 percent, I DON’T GIVE A FUCK.

Why?

Because 98/100 times... it will be a bad flu, per the symptoms reported.

The “actual” flu is like 99.98 out of 100 times.
Obviously the stats are different.

But is 98/100 times 2% or less?
Yup.

So, not worried, because VERY UNLIKELY I WILL EXPERIENCE SYMPTOMS WORSE THAN A BAD FLU, just like the other 98/100 people younger than 60.

Got it?

And for the bold; Yeah, for risk assessment, I’m saying there isn’t a lot of impact because it’s still less than 2% of the ENTIRE population.

You know how *unlucky* you have to be to be part of that 2%? Pretty fucking unlucky.

Are you gonna not vaccinate your kids because there’s a 5% chance they become autistic?

Not gonna drive because you might die?

not fly?

answer those questions then get back to me about my 2% rule.

you’re acting as if the 98% of the time that the symptoms are “like a bad flu” or NOT EVEN PRESENT is the exception, rather than the rule.


The exception is the 2% for whom it is much worse than the flu.
 
“That is an astute observation. The Jazz are fortunate that they don’t have to get back together and start playing games again right now. There’s a lot of work to do to repair relationships not just between Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, but others in the locker room. There’s a lot of frustration with Gobert. He certainly was apologetic today. They got great leadership in Utah. In that locker room, it’s going to be a test to get this team back on track,” Woj said.
 
hoopsjock said:
I still don't understand closing schools 4 days from now. Let's send the kids to school tomorrow to spread this disease around for one more day before closing it down.
Click to expand...
One reason would be to give parents time to deal with the situation. The other is that you're assuming anyone is spreading the disease around at schools. Is there evidence of that? It sure would be nice if more people could be tested so we aren't just guessing.
 
blazerfan11 said:
One reason would be to give parents time to deal with the situation. The other is that you're assuming anyone is spreading the disease around at schools. Is there evidence of that? It sure would be nice if more people could be tested so we aren't just guessing.
Click to expand...
But if it snowed tonight and school was canceled how would that be any different?

By your question why are sporting events and large gathering shut down? Just because kids seem to be for the most part not to affected by the virus doesn't mean they can't bring it home and give it to their parents or grandparents or whoever else comes into contact with them.

I thought the whole point of shutting things down was to slow the spread of it? Why are schools excluded from that? If you've determine that school needs to be closed down wouldn't that take precedent over any complications from not going to school? I get that it's really tough on people who rely on school for meals or for their kids to be somewhere while they work but is that more important than containing this virus? If it is why close school at all?
 
hoopsjock said:
But if it snowed tonight and school was canceled how would that be any different?

By your question why are sporting events and large gathering shut down? Just because kids seem to be for the most part not to affected by the virus doesn't mean they can't bring it home and give it to their parents or grandparents or whoever else comes into contact with them.

I thought the whole point of shutting things down was to slow the spread of it? Why are schools excluded from that? If you've determine that school needs to be closed down wouldn't that take precedent over any complications from not going to school? I get that it's really tough on people who rely on school for meals or for their kids to be somewhere while they work but is that more important than containing this virus? If it is why close school at all?
Click to expand...
I'm not supporting it one way or the other just thinking of some reasons why they would wait.
 
hoopsjock said:
I still don't understand closing schools 4 days from now. Let's send the kids to school tomorrow to spread this disease around for one more day before closing it down.
Click to expand...
I heard one health expert say that we should want the kids IN school. We can't afford to have doctors and nurses missing work because their kids are home.
 
hoopsjock said:
I still don't understand closing schools 4 days from now. Let's send the kids to school tomorrow to spread this disease around for one more day before closing it down.
Click to expand...
I don't have school age children any longer but i agree and if it was me at this point i would expect some parents to just make the decision and keep their kids home.
 
tlongII said:
I would assume that’s up to you and whomever you sold them to?
Click to expand...
I sold them onLine and have no idea who bought them. Since I sold them through Ticketmaster who works through the NBA including the Blazers I'll presume they'll know who bought them. But how do they compensate those people and does it mean that I will get additional money for the tickets that I sold for less than face value and get charged for tickets that I sold for more than face value? It's a mess.
 
hoopsjock said:
I still don't understand closing schools 4 days from now. Let's send the kids to school tomorrow to spread this disease around for one more day before closing it down.
Click to expand...
I thought they were shutting them down at midnight, Friday, March 13, 2020.
 
JoshuaHall said:
Jesus Christ.

Let me make this more simple.

If it’s less than 2 percent, I DON’T GIVE A FUCK.

Why?

Because 98/100 times... it will be a bad flu, per the symptoms reported.

The “actual” flu is like 99.98 out of 100 times.
Obviously the stats are different.

But is 98/100 times 2% or less?
Yup.

So, not worried, because VERY UNLIKELY I WILL EXPERIENCE SYMPTOMS WORSE THAN A BAD FLU, just like the other 98/100 people younger than 60.

Got it?

And for the bold; Yeah, for risk assessment, I’m saying there isn’t a lot of impact because it’s still less than 2% of the ENTIRE population.

You know how *unlucky* you have to be to be part of that 2%? Pretty fucking unlucky.

Are you gonna not vaccinate your kids because there’s a 5% chance they become autistic?

Not gonna drive because you might die?

not fly?

answer those questions then get back to me about my 2% rule.

you’re acting as if the 98% of the time that the symptoms are “like a bad flu” or NOT EVEN PRESENT is the exception, rather than the rule.


The exception is the 2% for whom it is much worse than the flu.
Click to expand...
An expert in Harvard University's Medical Institute has estimated that we will have about 600,000 deaths. That seems about right since the Covad-19 coronavirus has a transmissibility about twice that of the common flu and a death rate of 10 to 40 times that of the common flu..
We experience somewhere between 50,000 to 85,000 deaths every year from the common flu.
I've heard another expert predict that this pandemic won't peak in the U.S. until January of next year.
We are almost certain to be in for some bad times.
 
Trump to declare a national emergency.


Masters postponed.

NASCAR canceled.
 
Kenneth Copeland healed viewers of the coronavirus through their televisions last night.

 
This just in: America canceled
 
Chris Craig said:
This just in: America canceled
Click to expand...

Brunch postponed at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club
A 700-person brunch planned for Saturday at President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club in Florida has been postponed, the organizers said Friday.
 
TBpup said:
"Let's say"? So far there are around 128,000 confirmed cases. https://corona.help/ So "let's say" there are 77,000,000 people that get C-19? So a 601% increase of current cases? Then go through the rest of your numbers and "multiply that by 20"?

I realize your love of stats, but that seems a bit of an overreach. Going from a current 4718 deaths to 5,000,000? Then again, if it is not an overreach, it won't really matter will it?
Click to expand...

Isn't that a 60,100% increase?
 
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