OT Nov 6th prediction time (1 Viewer)

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I predict the Democrats take the House.
I also predict that Kate Brown beats Knute by 6%.
 
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Trump/republicans lost independents by 12%...Trump/republicans won independents by 4% in 2016. -16%
 
EL PRESIDENTE said:
They did not do well at all.

Rising stars LOST.

Anything less than a Republican crushing is a loss for them. The biggest win of the night is letting felons vote in Florida.
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Lol. That's one way to look at it. Another way is to say they shouldn't have been in contention in the first place.

You'll hear from them both in 2 years. No worries.
 
Prez... Y'all lost power.

You didn't gain anything. What did Trump actually win?

Because dems didn't win a few seats we wanted?

That's all y'all got...
 
dviss1 said:
Prez... Y'all lost power.

You didn't gain anything. What did Trump actually win?

Because dems didn't win a few seats we wanted?

That's all y'all got...
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Republicans gained seats in the Senate. If a Supreme Court Vacancy opens up, the dems can't do anything about it. Its not borderline any more. They will push forth a lot of judicial confirmations as well.

The House will just be focused on wasting their time with Trump and he'll use that in 2020 to highlight how obstructionist they are.
 
andalusian said:
In 2012, Texas, a red state, was won by Cruz by 16%. He won by less than 2% against Beto. I would not be surprised to see him going big and winning the Democratic presidential nomination in 2 years.
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Please do. Trump will wipe the floor with him.
 
EL PRESIDENTE said:
Republicans gained seats in the Senate. If a Supreme Court Vacancy opens up, the dems can't do anything about it. Its not borderline any more. They will push forth a lot of judicial confirmations as well.

The House will just be focused on wasting their time with Trump and he'll use that in 2020 to highlight how obstructionist they are.
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They will lose the senate in 2020. There will be no SC openings.
 
Midterm Election, Most House Seats Lost by President's Party in Power
'10 Obama: -63
'94 Clinton: -52
'58: Eisenhower: -48
'74 Ford (Nixon): -48
'66 Johnson: -47
'46 Truman: -45
'06 Bush: -30
'50 Truman: -29
'82 Reagan: -26
'18 Trump: -26

*NYT data since 1946-

And Gallup's slightly different, based upon approval rating (from 2010). Average change for unpopular presidents was -36.
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EL PRESIDENTE said:
Again, please do. I really want our local librarian to be the President. She is just so fucking bland.

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We'll see if racism plays well to the entire country.

Look how you go there..

That's all y'all have and THAT'S NOTHING.

What else DON'T you have??
 
As I've said, I think the (D)s did alright for themselves last night. I don't see a "Blue Wave", as it was a smaller change than average and didn't hit any of the hyperbolic high-water marks (+50?)

I think that the Kavanaugh thing was worth more than (D)s think. A lot of the seats flipped last night were from races where the incumbent (R) didn't make it through the primary. Many of those were not Trump fans, and paid the price by being both not a friend of the President, and not someone that the liberal/moderate voters choose either.

I'm concerned that it seems that only Trump Republicans win (R) seats, and that a good number of people will vote for what they perceive as economic socialism over a moderate anything (R or D).
 
dviss1 said:
We'll see if racism plays well to the entire country.

Look how you go there..

That's all y'all have and THAT'S NOTHING.

What else DON'T you have??
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I just don't see how most of America can be inspired or excited about her. Just seems like a fucking librarian you would see berating and stopping you from doing anything.

Give it up already, she is not the answer in 2020.
 
BrianFromWA said:
As I've said, I think the (D)s did alright for themselves last night. I don't see a "Blue Wave", as it was a smaller change than average and didn't hit any of the hyperbolic high-water marks (+50?)

I think that the Kavanaugh thing was worth more than (D)s think. A lot of the seats flipped last night were from races where the incumbent (R) didn't make it through the primary. Many of those were not Trump fans, and paid the price by being both not a friend of the President, and not someone that the liberal/moderate voters choose either.

I'm concerned that it seems that only Trump Republicans win (R) seats, and that a good number of people will vote for what they perceive as economic socialism over a moderate anything (R or D).
Click to expand...

Trump drained the swamp from his party.

 
EL PRESIDENTE said:
Please do. Trump will wipe the floor with him.
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I doubt it. He gained 14% on Cruz compared to the last election. Hillary won 43% in Texas. He only needs 7% to flip Texas. Assume he only gains half of what he gained on Cruz - he will also flip AZ, GA, NC, FL, PA, OH, MI etc...

He is exactly the kind of candidate the democrats need.
 
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