I think Mitch McGary should probably stay another year, but I have to wonder if he sort of pulled a "Shabazz" and treated his freshman year like a waiting room for the pro's, because I actually watched most of Michigan's games this year, and I was sold on Glenn Robinson III and Trey Burke, but McGary never showed me anything. I thought he was a product of the hype machine.
If any of ya'll follow college recruiting, the rumor was that McGary was going to try to go HS-to-pro despite the rule, because he was actually 19 at the time. Then he went to Michigan and just faded into the background. (To be fair, he sort of started his coasting before Michigan. During his senior year of high school, when he got dominated against Tilton HS and Nerls Noel, and McGary dropped from #2 in the nation in the rankings to in the 20's just because of his disinterest in that game.)
To put it into perspective how touted of a recruit McGary was though, when he committed to Michigan over Duke, UNC, and Kentucky, he said he did so because at Michigan, he thought he could be the face of the program and leave his own legacy. That's how highly recruited he was... that he could basically say, fuck the Fab 5, I'm going to be the face of Michigan hoops.
With that said, the talent's undeniable. He's had the best tournament of any player, regardless of their class. He shoots like Dwight from the FT line, can't consistently hit the midrange, but he's still a smarter version of DeAndre Jordan at the same age (when McGary actually shows up for the game mentally).
I wonder about his mental approach to preparation though, just because he's underachieved from HS to Michigan. He's shown not just ability but fire and intensity in March, but you still have to second guess it knowing what he failed to do in the months prior.
He might have been coasting during the regular season, but if you knew nothing of his history and saw him for the first time in the tournament, you'd think he'd be a sure-fire top five pick. Living in the day we live in though, with disappointing SrHS/Fr regular seasons, he's slated in the late first by most mocks. If I were drafting late lottery, I'd jump all over him.
He's a hard one to peg, but I have to wonder what really makes Cody Zeller #9 in NBADraft.Net's mock and Mitch McGary #22.
EDIT:
I have to post his numbers in the tournament versus his regular season numbers, just to show the "improvement" (aka, him actually giving a shit) -
Regular Season:
7.4 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 0.5 apg, 0.7 bpg
Tournament:
1st round - 13 pts, 9 rbs
2nd round - 21 pts, 14 rbs
Sweet 16 - 25 pts, 14 rbs
Elite 8 - 11 pts, 9 rbs, 2 blks, 5 stls
Final Four - 10 pts, 11 rbs, 6 asts, 2 blks
^^^^
He's clearly got more talent than he was showing during the regular season. Just watching the games, his play is even bigger than his impressive numbers. He's diving for loose balls, taking charges, and doing the dirty work. I watched him several times in Big-10 play, and he never showed shit. I thought he was the most overrated prospect Michigan ever recruited, but watching him during tournament play just makes me think he was just biding his time until the NBA.