The Race for Eighth

[BlazerBeav]

Damn OKC, went up 17 early and are now losing late in the 2nd.

 

[AldoTrapani]

I cannot believe Dillon Brooks got a 3/35 contract. He is the WRONG type of chucker you want on your team.

That’s actually a good deal for them. He’s one of their best 3 players with Morant and Jackson Jr. plays hard defense. He’s not bad just needs to calm down on the gunning

 

[B-Roy]

Looks like we are already getting to the rest games. Thunder are barely playing their key guys.

 

[illmatic99]

I'm OK with Memphis winning here. If we're in a play in, I'd rather them have 8 or 9.

PHX looks scary and I worry about Pop.

 

[AldoTrapani]

I'm OK with Memphis winning here.

Why?

 

[illmatic99]

Why?

young team that has injuries, struggled in close games. I want no part of booker/ayton right now. And rubio or Jrue are good defenders, Holiday especially. Memphis really has no one who can stop Dame.

Especially if we get 9. Winning 2 games is no easy task, regardless of team. But if we have to, I'd rather that be against MEM

 

[B-Roy]

Chris Paul is still amazing at age 34. Makes me feel better about Dame's supermax going until Dame is 34.

 

[SharpesTriumph]

I'm OK with Memphis winning here. If we're in a play in, I'd rather them have 8 or 9.

PHX looks scary and I worry about Pop.

While I'd prefer to play Memphis than Phx, I'd rather the blazers are 8th.

Having to win only one of two vs PHX is easier than havimg to win both vs Memphis IMO.

Plus the chance of us losing twice and both Phx Mem passing us really sucks.

 

[B-Roy]

Grizzlies are getting their first win. Really need them to lose at least one more game for the Blazers to control their own destiny.

 

[DDolla]

OKC gave this game to the Grizzlies.... ugh

 

[chris_in_pdx]

Thank's a lot, Thunder.

 

[Labinot41]

Grizzlies are getting their first win. Really need them to lose at least one more game for the Blazers to control their own destiny.

We play the Clippers tomorrow and then the Sixers and Dallas, it's still hard for us

 

[B-Roy]

We play the Clippers tomorrow and then the Sixers and Dallas, it's still hard for us

Clippers and Dallas are locked into their seeding and Philly is missing Simmons.

 

[Rastapopoulos]

 

[illmatic99]

This actually simplifies things quite a bit. I need Memphis to lose once more. Think that's doable. They're playing Boston, Toronto, and Milwaukee. Remember we have the tiebreaker on them

 

[Rastapopoulos]

Did our luck run out?

 

[Hoopguru]

This actually simplifies things quite a bit. I need Memphis to lose once more. Think that's doable. They're playing Boston, Toronto, and Milwaukee. Remember we have the tiebreaker on them

Utah handed the Spurs that game by not playing starters.

 

[Orion Bailey]

We get to play the Lakers in the first round......... fun!

We will Nurk SMASH them!

Serious question. Whatcha gonna do Who would you root for? Maybe root for the home team each game, or does your fandom sway more to one team than that?

 

[Labinot41]

Memphis plays the Raptors on Sunday, then the Celtics, their last game is against the Bucks. Budenholzer is gonna rest all their starters. Also, Jenkins was an assistant in Milwaukee under Budenholzer, it's likely Budenholzer is gonna do him a favour and lose that game. Memphis will definetly play in the tournament because they gonna win against the Bucks, the question is will the Blazers be their opponent (hopefully), and will the Blazers be the 8th seed or Memphis, anything can happen. It changes game by game in the wild wild west

 

[brooklynballer]

This actually simplifies things quite a bit. I need Memphis to lose once more. Think that's doable. They're playing Boston, Toronto, and Milwaukee. Remember we have the tiebreaker on them

I don’t think the Blazers have the tiebreaker with Memphis. The Blazers went 1-1 in the head-to-head matchups this season so the next tiebreaker would be conference record given that they’re not in the same division. As of right now, Memphis has a better conference record at 20-26 (to Portland’s 19-26).

 

[illmatic99]

I don’t think the Blazers have the tiebreaker with Memphis. The Blazers went 1-1 in the head-to-head matchups this season so the next tiebreaker would be conference record given that they’re not in the same division. As of right now, Memphis has a better conference record at 20-26 (to Portland’s 19-26).

I should have been more clear. We can't technically tie with them since we will have played one more game than them (74 vs 73). It effectively works as a tiebreaker of sorts when looking at percentages.

 

[illmatic99]

Actually @brooklynballer think i've been thinking about this wrong. Memphis actually are the ones at an advantage if we have the same number of final wins. My bad.

We have this advantage however on New Orleans and San Antonio.

 

[SharpesTriumph]

I think Toronto likely beats Memphis, their B teams is still very good. But Boston and Milwaukee may rest guys, they are not as deep, so Memphis could easily go 2-1.

We may have to go undefeated to get #8... and easily could miss the playin altoghether with more than one loss. Phoenix is playing great and all their opponents have had starters rest. SAS only have 3 games left they could likewise win all those.

Lets hope we beat LAC as any game we could play terrible or the opponent is on fire and have a fluky loss.... I don't want tall of PHI/DAL/BKN to have to be must win games; followed again by needing two win two of a playin vs Memphis... 5 straight wins will be very difficult.

 

[SharpesTriumph]

Actually @brooklynballer think i've been thinking about this wrong. Memphis actually are the ones at an advantage if we have the same number of final wins. My bad.

We have this advantage however on New Orleans and San Antonio.

Yes we need Memphis to lose one game then we control our destiny for the 8th seed.

 

[SharpesTriumph]

Current record
Current W L
MEM 33 37
PDX 32 38
PHX 30 39
SAS 30 38
NOP 29 39
SAC 29 39

Best possible record
Best W L %
MEM 36 37 0.493
PDX 36 38 0.486
PHX 34 39 0.466
SAS 33 38 0.465
NOP 33 39 0.458
SAC 33 39 0.458

Worst possible record
Worst W L %
MEM 33 40 0.452
PDX 32 42 0.432
PHX 30 43 0.411
SAS 30 41 0.423
NOP 29 43 0.403
SAC 29 43 0.403

Remaining schedule;
Date 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
MEM>> --- --- TOR --- BOS --- MIL
PDX>> --- LAC PHI --- DAL --- BKN
PHX>> --- MIA --- OKC PHI --- DAL
SAS>> --- --- NOP --- HOU --- UTH
NOP>> WSH --- SAS --- SAC --- ORL
SAC>> BKN --- HOU --- NOP --- LAL


Ending win percentage if each team has this many additional losses;
Team 0 1 2 3
MEM 0.493 0.479 0.466 0.452
PDX 0.486 0.473 0.459 0.446
PHX 0.466 0.452 0.438
SAS 0.465 0.451 0.437
NOP 0.458 0.444
SAC 0.458 0.444

 

[Cugel]

Only the lakers and Memphis want grizz at 8. League wide.

 

[illmatic99]

lmao i was just compiling that same list. Thank you

 

[tester551]

Kings are eliminated from #8 spot now. Portland needs 1 win (or 1 Kings loss) to eliminate them from the #9 position.

 

[tester551]

Kings are eliminated from #8 spot now. Portland needs 1 win (or 1 Kings loss) to eliminate them from the #9 position.

Also, Memphis only needs 1 win, or 1 loss each by Spurs, Phx, & Pels to clinch the #9 spot.
In that scenario, Memphis and Suns will have the exact same record - but Grizz get the spot based on head2head.

 

[SharpesTriumph]

I think we want the Pelicans to beat Washington today... then they have something to play for against the Spurs and could maybe beat them. If the Spurs and Phoenix each have one more loss we will get 9th even with two losses.

Spurs last two games are against Houston and Utah... Utah and Denver seem to be doing unusual tanking for playoff spots so maybe those two Spurs games see opponent starters sit and the Spurs win both.