I disagree with that. Do I think either will be traded before the trade DL this season, no shot. I think Matthews may be in play this summer if Toronto misses the playoffs, as it appears they will. I certainly believe they could be in play at next seasons trade DL if either team is struggling, and the summer of 2027 I think there's a reasonable chance they will be available, especially Tkachuk.
Anything can happen, but I think it is highly unlikely Tkachuk re-signs in Ottawa. Maybe he has some wonderful tie to the organization and the fans, but short of that Ottawa is a not a great hockey city, their fans are whatever, that building is whatever. I really don't see a huge pull or reason why Tkachuk would want to stay in Ottawa long-term outside of potential loyalty, and we'll see if that's enough to keep him.
Matthews is different in that Toronto is a huge city and hockey crazy, but you have to wonder if both parties may want a change if/when they miss the playoffs this season. With all their "talent", they have made it past round 1 one time with Matthews (never to the ECF), and now they may miss the playoffs all together. That's an absolute disaster for them and the city of Toronto; they may not be too happy with their Captain right now. It may be time for a change of culture and chemistry for that organization as a whole, and Matthews may want a change of scenery as well, who knows.
I believe Tkachuk is more likely to say no I will not re-sign, which means Ottawa will trade him next season/after next season, but I think Matthews is more likely to potentially be traded this summer if he/Toronto wants to change the mojo around that team. I standby what I wrote, one of the two will be Rangers in the 2028-2029 season or sooner. I also believe these are the types of players that useless awful Drury should be inquiring about, in the Rangers situation any good GM would. These are the types of players you need to get back on top. That goes double and triple when you step back and realize all the top potential 2026 FA's have re-signed with their teams, and the group of potential FA's in the summer of 2027 isn't looking great either.
BTW, as for re-tool or re-build, it doesn't matter even one drop what you or I or anyone thinks they should do, useless awful Drury was very clear in his letter this is a re-tool. He also said it about six times in a recent short interview, including saying multiple times a re-tool is different than a re-build, we are re-tooling. Nothing in the Rangers DNA says they are going to re-build, and whether I agree of not, I don't see a re-build happening. So, like it or not, regardless of what's right or wrong/good or bad, useless awful Drury has been very clear many many times, re-tool not re-build. As such, these are the type of players I'd be targeting.