Me, too. The 13th or 14th pick in this draft will not have an immediate impact on this team - if ever. Picks in that range are a crap shoot. Many never amount to anything, many eventually become a rotation player (usually after being passed around among multiple teams) and around 5% actually have an impact within their first two or three years. We already have a ton of young guys to develop and there are only so many minutes to go around. The only real value that pick holds is as a trading chip to combine with one of our other young players to bring back a proven vet - and I'm not sure Neil wants to go that route. I think he's more about "value" free agent signings than trading youth for experience.
But, playoff experience is invaluable for a young team on the rise. All young teams must learn to win. They start by beating the teams they should beat at home, progress to protecting home court against other top teams and beating the patsies on the road. To become elite, they must dominate at home, win the games they should win on the road and play .500 ball on the road against the other top teams. Post season experience is a big part of that learning curve.
Remember that 54-win 2008-09 Roy team? They had HCA against HOU and lost Game 1, in Portland by 27 points. The players were completely overwhelmed (collective deer-in-the-headlights stunned) by the whole playoff experience. They had the roster, but not the experience (or coach) to compete with HOU. They surrendered HCA, without a fight, in Game 1 and dug themselves a hole they couldn't climb out of. Even losing in the first round is good experience. Every young team needs to overcome those first time post season jitters.
Compare that team to the 54-win 2013-14 team that upset HOU in the first round. It was Lillard's first post season, but all of Aldridge, Matthews, Lopez and Batum had prior playoff experience, as did Mo Williams (finals with the Cavs) and Dorell Wright (championship with MIA). No deer-in-the-headlight shock and awe this time around.
So, ANY playoff experience is good for a young team, even getting swept in the first round. The post season is a totally different environment - way more intense, but you also need to get used to playing the same team 4 - 7 games in a row, making adjustments and counter adjustments, etc. Plus, at the 5 or 6 seed, I don't think the Blazers get swept. I think they'll win at least two games and get a taste of winning in the post season. Who knows, although they are younger and have less playoff experience than that 2013-14 team, Dame, C.J., Plumlee, Henderson and Aminu have all tasted the post season, so maybe they can pull off a first round upset. It's not out of the realm of possibility and that would be worth way more to this young team than the 13th or 14th pick in the draft.
BNM