GhostOfPGA
The late great Paul Allen
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- Nov 5, 2018
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I think maybe something like 3% of republicans may vote Bloomberg but those 3% are never-trumpers anyway. I think it’d be more likely they don’t vote at all though.Based on what? I think quite a few Republicans who dislike Trump but would never vote for most Democrats would be quite attracted to Bloomberg as a candidate. He's more right-wing than left-wing, he's a war hawk, he's what conservatives consider to be a "law and order" politician and he doesn't have the kind of weird outbursts that cause some Republicans/conservatives not to like Trump.
I don't think it's at all clear whether he'd take more votes from Trump or the eventual Democratic nominee. Most likely, he'd take some from both and the overall impact wouldn't be hugely significant.
I think if Sanders is the Dem nominee though, and Bloomers runs independently, a good portion of the Biden/Klobuchar/Pete dem backers could very well vote against Bernie.