What Will the Blazers Record be by the All-Star Game?

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10-9; So 25-30

Unless there is a trade.
 
e_blazer said:
I think they'll go 13-6 in that stretch and be at 28-27 by the All-Star Game.
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I'm thinking more like 6-13, going on what they have done so far. Has the defense really changed now, I hope so. Is Aminu finally in a groove, I hope so. I can't see either Turner or Crabbe suddenly becoming more than average players; it seems like they have had plenty of time already, but it's possible one of them could break out.
 
There are so many winnable games....but that hasn't meant much so far. With so many of those, I would hope they could get 9-10 wins as the schedule is much easier.

10 wins would put them at 24-30.....which would be right around tied for the #8 Playoff spot if SAC were continue to play at their pace. The #7 seed after 54 games is on pace to win 33. We would still be 9 games out of the #7 spot.

Oh joy... :banghead2:
 
TBpup said:
There are so many winnable games....but that hasn't meant much so far. With so many of those, I would hope they could get 9-10 wins as the schedule is much easier.

10 wins would put them at 24-30.....which would be right around tied for the #8 Playoff spot if SAC were continue to play at their pace. The #7 seed after 54 games is on pace to win 33. We would still be 9 games out of the #7 spot.

Oh joy... :banghead2:
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You mean Purgatory?
 
I find it interesting that so many of you have given up on the Blazers considering these things:

A. They have exactly the same record, 15-21, as they had at this point in the season last year. We all know how they hit the afterburners in the second half of last season.

B. They just finished the toughest stretch of their season. The schedule from this point on is much more friendly than the what they've played to date.

C. The Blazers have struggled to get healthy this season, but finally look to be getting to the point where they can go with the same rotations as last year. Aminu is rounding into shape and he definitely helps with the defense.

D. Turner finally is showing signs of fitting into the Blazers' offensive schemes.

E. The Blazers were able to hold their own in the past several games despite missing their best player. I expect Lillard to come back energized and fully engaged at making a playoff push similar to last year. I'm never betting against Dame doing something that he sets his mind to achieving.
 
e_blazer said:
A. They have exactly the same record, 15-21, as they had at this point in the season last year. We all know how they hit the afterburners in the second half of last season.
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One unlikely thing happening doesn't create a precedent to rely upon. It's similar to my joke a few days ago about trading McCollum for the #3 pick because Michael Jordan was a #3 pick. Just because it happened once doesn't mean it's likely to happen again.

E. The Blazers were able to hold their own in the past several games despite missing their best player. I expect Lillard to come back energized and fully engaged at making a playoff push similar to last year. I'm never betting against Dame doing something that he sets his mind to achieving.
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I don't really know what this means. Are you saying he didn't set his mind to defeating the Warriors in the playoffs last year? Is he not setting his mind to achieving a championship? Lillard doesn't have the power to makes things happen just because he wills it.

Your other points are reasonable. I think the Blazers will be a bit better going forward than they have been so far--but that doesn't mean they'll be good, and currently I don't expect them to be.
 
BlazerWookee said:
4-17
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pright.jpg
 
e_blazer said:
I find it interesting that so many of you have given up on the Blazers considering these things:

A. They have exactly the same record, 15-21, as they had at this point in the season last year. We all know how they hit the afterburners in the second half of last season.
Click to expand...

Not giving up but also realistic about how much better the West is this year than last year's abnormally poor showing.
 
e_blazer said:
After tonight's win, the Blazers are at 15-21 and in the 10th spot in the West. Here's their schedule prior to the All-Star Break. What do you think their record will be at the end of this stretch?

Wed, Jan 4 @ Golden State
Thu, Jan 5 vs Los Angeles
Sat, Jan 7 vs Detroit
Tue, Jan 10 @ Los Angeles
Wed, Jan 11 vs Cleveland
Fri, Jan 13 vs Orlando
Mon, Jan 16 @ Washington
Wed, Jan 18 @ Charlotte
Fri, Jan 20 @ Philadelphia
Sat, Jan 21 @ Boston
Wed, Jan 25 vs Los Angeles
Fri, Jan 27 vs Memphis
Sun, Jan 29 vs Golden State
Fri, Feb 3 vs Dallas
Sun, Feb 5 @ Oklahoma City
Tue, Feb 7 @ Dallas
Thu, Feb 9 vs Boston
Mon, Feb 13 vs Atlanta
Wed, Feb 15 @ Utah


I think they'll go 13-6 in that stretch and be at 28-27 by the All-Star Game.
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I've got us going 9-10 over that stretch, so that puts us at 24-31. I think we'll be lucky to snag one win on that East Coast road trip.
 
Minstrel said:
One unlikely thing happening doesn't create a precedent to rely upon. It's similar to my joke a few days ago about trading McCollum for the #3 pick because Michael Jordan was a #3 pick. Just because it happened once doesn't mean it's likely to happen again.
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No, but there's a pretty good reason to believe that the extremely poor record the Blazers have achieved this year is a result of injuries and tough scheduling and is not indicative of what they'll do the rest of the way in an easier portion of their schedule.

I don't really know what this means. Are you saying he didn't set his mind to defeating the Warriors in the playoffs last year? Is he not setting his mind to achieving a championship? Lillard doesn't have the power to makes things happen just because he wills it.
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It was a bit of a throw-in line, I'll admit. Lillard upped his game the second half of last season. I'd bet that he can do it again.

Your other points are reasonable. I think the Blazers will be a bit better going forward than they have been so far--but that doesn't mean they'll be good, and currently I don't expect them to be.
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Certainly a reasonable opinion. Based on what I've seen in this thread, that makes you an optimist. Most will probably say that I'm just being a homer with my thought that the Blazers are about to turn the corner and start playing well. I think that, in addition to the points I made above, it's reflective of the fact that the Blazers are a very young team and that it sometimes takes a bit of time for young teams to click. I've seen signs that that's starting to happen for at least stretches of the past 4-5 games. I think that with Lillard's return, they can get some confidence against easier opponents and that they'll return to the form they showed at the end of last season. But that's just an educated guess. They have to do the work that will either prove my opinion right or wrong.
 
e_blazer said:
Certainly a reasonable opinion. Based on what I've seen in this thread, that makes you an optimist. Most will probably say that I'm just being a homer with my thought that the Blazers are about to turn the corner and start playing well. I think that, in addition to the points I made above, it's reflective of the fact that the Blazers are a very young team and that it sometimes takes a bit of time for young teams to click.
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No one should ever be so certain of their opinions that they think poorly of others who believe something else will happen. I've certainly seen many things I thought for certain would happen go the other way and I've seen others, smart people, provide harshly-worded long posts about how obvious it was that something would happen a certain way and watch it not unfold like that.

You're more optimistic than I am and you could certainly turn out to be right. A trap a lot of people fall into is not realizing that while there are some forms of logic that you can apply to prediction, humans are such poor predictors of the future that we're all just looking for patterns and some pattern-matching is intuitive rather than based in logical analysis.

That didn't have much to do with your actual points, I just think we as a group would do better to argue with less certainty and I was reminded of it by your comment about how some would brand you.
 
e_blazer said:
No, but there's a pretty good reason to believe that the extremely poor record the Blazers have achieved this year is a result of injuries and tough scheduling and is not indicative of what they'll do the rest of the way in an easier portion of their schedule.
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But do we really want to rely on beating bad teams as our ticket to the POs, when it's clear we're not in the same class as the good teams? It would be one thing if we were the 8th seed and played competitively against all the teams in the league - you could then make an underdog argument. But getting waxed by good teams (and bad teams) on the regular make us a Playoff Training Camp for whoever we face...unless, of course, our opponent loses their two best players.

For the record, I do believe we'll make the POs because the last 6 weeks of the season should be a cake walk...even for a fundamentally flawed system like ours.
 
blue9 said:
But do we really want to rely on beating bad teams as our ticket to the POs, when it's clear we're not in the same class as the good teams? It would be one thing if we were the 8th seed and played competitively against all the teams in the league - you could then make an underdog argument. But getting waxed by good teams (and bad teams) on the regular make us a Playoff Training Camp for whoever we face...unless, of course, our opponent loses their two best players.
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I said that they could gain confidence against poorer teams and start playing the way they did at the end of last season. They were beating good teams at the end of last season.
 
e_blazer said:
I said that they could gain confidence against poorer teams and start playing the way they did at the end of last season. They were beating good teams at the end of last season.
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Yeah, I agree that confidence can go a long way. That's how DAL won their championship. But at the end of the season we won't have too many chances to prove we can beat good teams - so winning lots of games against bad teams, and maybe beating a couple good teams, will set up unrealistic expectations.
 
PtldPlatypus said:
Wed, Jan 4 @ Golden State L
Thu, Jan 5 vs Los Angeles W
Sat, Jan 7 vs Detroit L
Tue, Jan 10 @ Los Angeles W
Wed, Jan 11 vs Cleveland L
Fri, Jan 13 vs Orlando W
Mon, Jan 16 @ Washington W
Wed, Jan 18 @ Charlotte L
Fri, Jan 20 @ Philadelphia W
Sat, Jan 21 @ Boston L
Wed, Jan 25 vs Los Angeles W
Fri, Jan 27 vs Memphis W
Sun, Jan 29 vs Golden State L
Fri, Feb 3 vs Dallas W
Sun, Feb 5 @ Oklahoma City L
Tue, Feb 7 @ Dallas W
Thu, Feb 9 vs Boston L
Mon, Feb 13 vs Atlanta W
Wed, Feb 15 @ Utah L

10-9
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Detroilet, Charlotte, and Utah are winnable.
 
Denny Crane said:
Detroilet, Charlotte, and Utah are winnable.
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Yup. I put those three into my W column to come up with 13-6. The Blazers may not get them all, but they could pull off an upset somewhere else as well.
 
e_blazer said:
Yup. I put those three into my W column to come up with 13-6. The Blazers may not get them all, but they could pull off an upset somewhere else as well.
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Then we agree? :)
 
Is this where you guys realize our schedule is pretty easy the rest of the way?

I told y'all, it's all about surviving till March. Were only 7 games behind the 4th seed and our schedule gets easier while everyone else's gets harder. Even Houston at 3 is possibly catchable with their schedule tightening up a shit ton.

Right now, I would be happy with the 6th seed, and improved defense via trades at the trade deadline. We can beat Houston in a 7 game series, especially if we make the right trades.
 
I see us going 9-10 over that stretch, assuming no trade, so 24-31.
 
Dame comes back and goes on a tear like last year we go 16-3 putting us at 31-24.
If i'm going to guess I want to either go overly optimistic or overly pessimistic.
 
I'm not jinxing any more prediction threads....I'll be lucky to deal with my 54 win prediction as is...
 
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