When will we clinch?

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gambitnut

gambitnut

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According to my math, our magic number is 24, any combination of 24 Portland wins and/or Phoenix losses put us in the playoffs. When will that happen? Let's look at the remaining schedules:

Portland​

Tue, Feb 24 Portland @ Houston 8:30 PM
Wed, Feb 25 Portland @ San Antonio 8:30 PM
Fri, Feb 27 Portland @ Minnesota 8:00 PM
Sun, Mar 1 San Antonio @ Portland 8:00 PM
Wed, Mar 4 Indiana @ Portland 10:00 PM
Thu, Mar 5 Portland @ Denver 10:30 PM
Sat, Mar 7 Minnesota @ Portland 10:00 PM
Mon, Mar 9 LA Lakers @ Portland 10:00 PM
Wed, Mar 11 Dallas @ Portland 10:00 PM
Fri, Mar 13 New Jersey @ Portland 10:00 PM
Sun, Mar 15 Portland @ Atlanta 1:00 PM
Mon, Mar 16 Portland @ Memphis 8:00 PM
Wed, Mar 18 Portland @ Indiana 7:00 PM
Thu, Mar 19 Portland @ Cleveland 8:00 PM
Sat, Mar 21 Portland @ Milwaukee 8:30 PM
Mon, Mar 23 Philadelphia @ Portland 10:00 PM
Thu, Mar 26 Phoenix @ Portland 10:30 PM
Sat, Mar 28 Memphis @ Portland 10:00 PM
Tue, Mar 31 Utah @ Portland 10:00 PM
Fri, Apr 3 Portland @ Oklahoma City 8:00 PM
Sun, Apr 5 Portland @ Houston 7:00 PM
Tue, Apr 7 Portland @ Memphis 8:00 PM
Wed, Apr 8 Portland @ San Antonio 8:00 PM
Fri, Apr 10 LA Lakers @ Portland 10:00 PM
Sat, Apr 11 Portland @ LA Clippers 10:30 PM
Mon, Apr 13 Oklahoma City @ Portland 10:00 PM
Wed, Apr 15 Denver @ Portland 10:30 PM

Phoenix​

Tue, Feb 24 Charlotte @ Phoenix 9:00 PM
Thu, Feb 26 Phoenix @ LA Lakers 10:30 PM
Fri, Feb 27 Toronto @ Phoenix 9:00 PM
Sun, Mar 1 LA Lakers @ Phoenix 3:30 PM
Tue, Mar 3 Phoenix @ Orlando 7:00 PM
Wed, Mar 4 Phoenix @ Miami 7:30 PM
Fri, Mar 6 Phoenix @ Houston 8:30 PM
Sun, Mar 8 Phoenix @ San Antonio 3:30 PM
Tue, Mar 10 Dallas @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Thu, Mar 12 Cleveland @ Phoenix 10:30 PM
Sat, Mar 14 Oklahoma City @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Sun, Mar 15 Phoenix @ Golden State 9:00 PM
Wed, Mar 18 Philadelphia @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Sat, Mar 21 Washington @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Mon, Mar 23 Denver @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Wed, Mar 25 Utah @ Phoenix 10:30 PM
Thu, Mar 26 Phoenix @ Portland 10:30 PM
Sat, Mar 28 Phoenix @ Utah 9:00 PM
Sun, Mar 29 Phoenix @ Sacramento 9:00 PM
Wed, Apr 1 Houston @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Fri, Apr 3 Sacramento @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Sun, Apr 5 Phoenix @ Dallas 3:30 PM
Wed, Apr 8 Phoenix @ New Orleans 8:00 PM
Fri, Apr 10 Phoenix @ Memphis 8:00 PM
Sat, Apr 11 Phoenix @ Minnesota 8:00 PM
Mon, Apr 13 Memphis @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Wed, Apr 15 Golden State @ Phoenix 10:30 PM

So, these are all of the relevant games:

Playoff Magic​

Tue, Feb 24 Portland @ Houston 8:30 PM
Tue, Feb 24 Charlotte @ Phoenix 9:00 PM
Wed, Feb 25 Portland @ San Antonio 8:30 PM
Thu, Feb 26 Phoenix @ LA Lakers 10:30 PM
Fri, Feb 27 Portland @ Minnesota 8:00 PM
Fri, Feb 27 Toronto @ Phoenix 9:00 PM
Sun, Mar 1 LA Lakers @ Phoenix 3:30 PM
Sun, Mar 1 San Antonio @ Portland 8:00 PM
Tue, Mar 3 Phoenix @ Orlando 7:00 PM
Wed, Mar 4 Phoenix @ Miami 7:30 PM
Wed, Mar 4 Indiana @ Portland 10:00 PM
Thu, Mar 5 Portland @ Denver 10:30 PM
Fri, Mar 6 Phoenix @ Houston 8:30 PM
Sat, Mar 7 Minnesota @ Portland 10:00 PM
Sun, Mar 8 Phoenix @ San Antonio 3:30 PM
Mon, Mar 9 LA Lakers @ Portland 10:00 PM
Tue, Mar 10 Dallas @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Wed, Mar 11 Dallas @ Portland 10:00 PM
Thu, Mar 12 Cleveland @ Phoenix 10:30 PM
Fri, Mar 13 New Jersey @ Portland 10:00 PM
Sat, Mar 14 Oklahoma City @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Sun, Mar 15 Portland @ Atlanta 1:00 PM
Sun, Mar 15 Phoenix @ Golden State 9:00 PM
Mon, Mar 16 Portland @ Memphis 8:00 PM
Wed, Mar 18 Portland @ Indiana 7:00 PM
Wed, Mar 18 Philadelphia @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Thu, Mar 19 Portland @ Cleveland 8:00 PM
Sat, Mar 21 Portland @ Milwaukee 8:30 PM
Sat, Mar 21 Washington @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Mon, Mar 23 Philadelphia @ Portland 10:00 PM
Mon, Mar 23 Denver @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Wed, Mar 25 Utah @ Phoenix 10:30 PM
Thu, Mar 26 Phoenix @ Portland 10:30 PM
Thu, Mar 26 Phoenix @ Portland 10:30 PM
Sat, Mar 28 Phoenix @ Utah 9:00 PM
Sat, Mar 28 Memphis @ Portland 10:00 PM
Fri, Apr 3 Portland @ Oklahoma City 8:00 PM
Sun, Mar 29 Phoenix @ Sacramento 9:00 PM
Tue, Mar 31 Utah @ Portland 10:00 PM
Wed, Apr 1 Houston @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Fri, Apr 3 Portland @ Oklahoma City 8:00 PM
Fri, Apr 3 Sacramento @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Sun, Apr 5 Phoenix @ Dallas 3:30 PM
Sun, Apr 5 Portland @ Houston 7:00 PM
Tue, Apr 7 Portland @ Memphis 8:00 PM
Wed, Apr 8 Portland @ San Antonio 8:00 PM
Wed, Apr 8 Phoenix @ New Orleans 8:00 PM
Fri, Apr 10 Phoenix @ Memphis 8:00 PM
Fri, Apr 10 LA Lakers @ Portland 10:00 PM
Sat, Apr 11 Phoenix @ Minnesota 8:00 PM
Sat, Apr 11 Portland @ LA Clippers 10:30 PM
Mon, Apr 13 Oklahoma City @ Portland 10:00 PM
Mon, Apr 13 Memphis @ Phoenix 10:00 PM
Wed, Apr 15 Denver @ Portland 10:30 PM
Wed, Apr 15 Golden State @ Phoenix 10:30 PM

Which of those games will be the first 24 to go our way? Which one will put us in the playoffs?
 
Nice!!! It's good to see someone who actually is working off the premise that we ARE making the playoffs and that it's just a matter of when!!! Nice work!

I'd say that we won't clinch until the first week of April at best unless Phauxnix or some other team really tanks it.
 
gambitnut said:
According to my math, our magic number is 24, any combination of 24 Portland wins and/or Phoenix losses put us in the playoffs. When will that happen? Let's look at the remaining schedules:

Portland​

Code: 
Tue, Feb 24	 Portland @ Houston         	8:30 PM	 	
Wed, Feb 25	 Portland @ San Antonio    	8:30 PM	 	
Fri, Feb 27	 Portland @ Minnesota      	8:00 PM	 	
Sun, Mar 1	 San Antonio @ Portland     	8:00 PM	 	
Wed, Mar 4	 Indiana @ Portland           	10:00 PM	 	
Thu, Mar 5	 Portland @ Denver	                    10:30 PM	
Sat, Mar 7	 Minnesota @ Portland      	10:00 PM	 	
Mon, Mar 9	 LA Lakers @ Portland       	10:00 PM	 	
Wed, Mar 11 Dallas @ Portland            	10:00 PM	
Fri, Mar 13	 New Jersey @ Portland     	10:00 PM	 	
Sun, Mar 15	 Portland @ Atlanta           	1:00 PM	 	
Mon, Mar 16	 Portland @ Memphis        	8:00 PM	 	
Wed, Mar 18 Portland @ Indiana	                    7:00 PM	 	
Thu, Mar 19	 Portland @ Cleveland        	8:00 PM	
Sat, Mar 21	 Portland @ Milwaukee       	8:30 PM	 	
Mon, Mar 23	 Philadelphia @ Portland     	10:00 PM	
Thu, Mar 26	 Phoenix @ Portland           	10:30 PM	
Sat, Mar 28	 Memphis @ Portland          	10:00 PM	
Tue, Mar 31	 Utah @ Portland                        10:00 PM	 	
Fri, Apr 3	 Portland @ Oklahoma City 	8:00 PM	 	
Sun, Apr 5	 Portland @ Houston	          7:00 PM	 	
Tue, Apr 7	 Portland @ Memphis         	8:00 PM	 	
Wed, Apr 8	 Portland @ San Antonio     	8:00 PM	
Fri, Apr 10	 LA Lakers @ Portland        	10:00 PM	 	
Sat, Apr 11	 Portland @ LA Clippers      	10:30 PM	 	
Mon, Apr 13	 Oklahoma City @ Portland 	10:00 PM	 	
Wed, Apr 15	 Denver @ Portland            	10:30 PM	

[U][CENTER]Phoenix[/CENTER][/U]

Tue, Feb 24	 Charlotte @ Phoenix          	9:00 PM	 	
Thu, Feb 26	 Phoenix @ LA Lakers         	10:30 PM	
Fri, Feb 27	 Toronto @ Phoenix            	9:00 PM	 	
Sun, Mar 1	 LA Lakers @ Phoenix	          3:30 PM			
Tue, Mar 3	 Phoenix @ Orlando 	          7:00 PM	 	
Wed, Mar 4	 Phoenix @ Miami             	7:30 PM	 	
Fri, Mar 6	 Phoenix @ Houston 	          8:30 PM	 
Sun, Mar 8	 Phoenix @ San Antonio	          3:30 PM			
Tue, Mar 10	 Dallas @ Phoenix                      10:00 PM	 	
Thu, Mar 12	 Cleveland @ Phoenix        	10:30 PM	
Sat, Mar 14	 Oklahoma City @ Phoenix	10:00 PM	 	
Sun, Mar 15	 Phoenix @ Golden State  	9:00 PM	
Wed, Mar 18 Philadelphia	@ Phoenix              10:00 PM	 	
Sat, Mar 21	 Washington @ Phoenix      	10:00 PM	
Mon, Mar 23	 Denver @ Phoenix           	10:00 PM	 	
Wed, Mar 25 Utah @ Phoenix               	10:30 PM	
Thu, Mar 26	 Phoenix @ Portland           	10:30 PM	
Sat, Mar 28	 Phoenix @ Utah                	9:00 PM	 	
Sun, Mar 29	 Phoenix @ Sacramento     	9:00 PM	 	
Wed, Apr 1	 Houston @ Phoenix           	10:00 PM	
Fri, Apr 3	 Sacramento @ Phoenix     	10:00 PM	 	
Sun, Apr 5	 Phoenix @ Dallas              	3:30 PM			
Wed, Apr 8	 Phoenix @ New Orleans    	8:00 PM	 	
Fri, Apr 10	 Phoenix @ Memphis          	8:00 PM	 	
Sat, Apr 11	 Phoenix @ Minnesota        	8:00 PM	 	
Mon, Apr 13	 Memphis @ Phoenix          	10:00 PM	 	
Wed, Apr 15	 Golden State @ Phoenix     	10:30 PM	 	

So, these are all of the relevant games:

[U][CENTER]Playoff Magic[/CENTER][/U]

Tue, Feb 24	 Portland @ Houston         	8:30 PM
Tue, Feb 24	 Charlotte @ Phoenix          	9:00 PM
Wed, Feb 25	 Portland @ San Antonio    	8:30 PM
Thu, Feb 26	 Phoenix @ LA Lakers         	10:30 PM
Fri, Feb 27	 Portland @ Minnesota      	8:00 PM
Fri, Feb 27	 Toronto @ Phoenix            	9:00 PM	 
Sun, Mar 1	 LA Lakers @ Phoenix	          3:30 PM
Sun, Mar 1	 San Antonio @ Portland     	8:00 PM
Tue, Mar 3	 Phoenix @ Orlando 	          7:00 PM	 	
Wed, Mar 4	 Phoenix @ Miami             	7:30 PM
Wed, Mar 4	 Indiana @ Portland           	10:00 PM	 	
Thu, Mar 5	 Portland @ Denver	                    10:30 PM
Fri, Mar 6	 Phoenix @ Houston 	          8:30 PM
Sat, Mar 7	 Minnesota @ Portland      	10:00 PM
Sun, Mar 8	 Phoenix @ San Antonio	          3:30 PM	 	
Mon, Mar 9	 LA Lakers @ Portland       	10:00 PM
Tue, Mar 10	 Dallas @ Phoenix                      10:00 PM	 	
Wed, Mar 11 Dallas @ Portland            	10:00 PM
Thu, Mar 12	 Cleveland @ Phoenix        	10:30 PM	
Fri, Mar 13	 New Jersey @ Portland     	10:00 PM
Sat, Mar 14	 Oklahoma City @ Phoenix	10:00 PM	
Sun, Mar 15	 Portland @ Atlanta           	1:00 PM
Sun, Mar 15	 Phoenix @ Golden State  	9:00 PM	
Mon, Mar 16	 Portland @ Memphis        	8:00 PM	 	
Wed, Mar 18 Portland @ Indiana	                    7:00 PM
Wed, Mar 18 Philadelphia	@ Phoenix              10:00 PM
Thu, Mar 19	 Portland @ Cleveland        	8:00 PM	
Sat, Mar 21	 Portland @ Milwaukee       	8:30 PM
Sat, Mar 21	 Washington @ Phoenix      	10:00 PM	
Mon, Mar 23	 Philadelphia @ Portland     	10:00 PM
Mon, Mar 23	 Denver @ Phoenix           	10:00 PM	 	
Wed, Mar 25 Utah @ Phoenix               	10:30 PM	
Thu, Mar 26	 Phoenix @ Portland           	10:30 PM
Thu, Mar 26	 Phoenix @ Portland           	10:30 PM	
Sat, Mar 28	 Phoenix @ Utah                	9:00 PM
Sat, Mar 28	 Memphis @ Portland          	10:00 PM	
Fri, Apr 3	 Portland @ Oklahoma City 	8:00 PM
Sun, Mar 29	 Phoenix @ Sacramento     	9:00 PM	
Tue, Mar 31	 Utah @ Portland                        10:00 PM
Wed, Apr 1	 Houston @ Phoenix           	10:00 PM
Fri, Apr 3	 Portland @ Oklahoma City 	8:00 PM
Fri, Apr 3	 Sacramento @ Phoenix     	10:00 PM	
Sun, Apr 5	 Phoenix @ Dallas              	3:30 PM
Sun, Apr 5	 Portland @ Houston	          7:00 PM	 	
Tue, Apr 7	 Portland @ Memphis         	8:00 PM	 	
Wed, Apr 8	 Portland @ San Antonio     	8:00 PM
Wed, Apr 8	 Phoenix @ New Orleans    	8:00 PM	
Fri, Apr 10	 Phoenix @ Memphis          	8:00 PM	
Fri, Apr 10	 LA Lakers @ Portland        	10:00 PM	 
Sat, Apr 11	 Phoenix @ Minnesota        	8:00 PM
Sat, Apr 11	 Portland @ LA Clippers      	10:30 PM	 	
Mon, Apr 13	 Oklahoma City @ Portland 	10:00 PM	 	
Mon, Apr 13	 Memphis @ Phoenix          	10:00 PM	
Wed, Apr 15	 Denver @ Portland            	10:30 PM
Wed, Apr 15	 Golden State @ Phoenix     	10:30 PM
Which of those games will be the first 24 to go our way? Which one will put us in the playoffs?
Click to expand...

fixed

EDIT: Not really.
 
I wouldn't be surprised if it was the last game of the season before the western conference play off teams are all decided.

I'm a little (well, actually a lot) disappointed in Houston. Don't they know they're supposed to go away peacefully and quietly now that Tracy McGrady's season is over? :crazy:
 
yenniedn said:
Nice!!! It's good to see someone who actually is working off the premise that we ARE making the playoffs and that it's just a matter of when!!! Nice work!

I'd say that we won't clinch until the first week of April at best unless Phauxnix or some other team really tanks it.
Click to expand...

Those who don't think we're making the playoffs this season can feel free to pick some random date in 2010.
 
Fri, Apr 10 LA Lakers @ Portland 10:00 PM

How much better would a night get? Beat the Lakers and clinch a playoff spot. That's my guess. Along with a NW Division title!
 
gambitnut said:
I'll go with March 26th, when Phoenix comes here.
Click to expand...
that's what i was thinking as well. of course that is only 34 combined games away(with it counting as two) so that may be a little ambitious with the 24 game magic number.

but i think it does happen before the month of april.
 
I'm still not convinced that PHX isn't making it. NOH and DAL aren't exactly blowing the doors off, and HOU is down to Artest and Yao. Bottom line, we have to keep winning.
 
BrianFromWA said:
I'm still not convinced that PHX isn't making it. NOH and DAL aren't exactly blowing the doors off, and HOU is down to Artest and Yao. Bottom line, we have to keep winning.
Click to expand...
houston is 15-6 this season without tmac. 20-15 with him. him being in and out of the lineup and playing when he could barely even get up and down the court at times really hurt the team. the only way the rockets miss the playoffs is if yao gets hurt.
 
That's not necessarily a statistical oddity if it happens, though...I'm just saying with the Rockets, there is no longer room for error/injury
 
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