Around the NBA: February 2019 edition!

[tlongII]

Go Beavs!

 

[TorturedBlazerFan]

From what I know it's a if you want the position you pretty much can get it type thing.

I did see a few guys got that title. I think they do have to be voted in though.

 

[BonesJones]

 

[Rastapopoulos]

Link

 

[wizenheimer]

Link

just a little perspective on those numbers, compare Denver (.540) and Portland (.493). That looks like a significant difference, but how significant is it?

both teams have 25 games remaining. That means Denver's remaining opponents have an average record of 13.5-11.5. Portland's opponents have an average record of 12.3-12.7. In effect it could be as close as 13-12 vs 12-13. Further, Denver has a 12-13 home/road ratio left while Portland has a 9-16 home/road imbalance. All in all, it doesn't seem like the differential between the two teams is as significant as that list makes it out to be

OKC has the toughest schedule; their opponents have a 14-11 average record (14.3-10.7). But they do have a 14-10 home/road advantage

Utah has the 2nd easiest remaining SOS and is 2 games behind Portland. Their opponents have an average record of 11-14. They have a slight 13-12 home/road advantage

The NW division is a grinder. Tiebreakers are critical, which means division records are huge:

Denver 7-1
OKC 5-4
Utah 5-6
Portland 4-8

best Portland could do is 8-8. They have a home game left against OKC (trail 0-3); and away game against Minny; and a away/home on a weekend left against Denver (trail 0-2). Blazers 2-2 against Utah. Portland is not looking good for any tie-breaker right now, but possibly that could change. Blazers are 5 games behind Denver and 2 behind OKC

 

[B-Roy]

We are 0-3 against OKC, not 1-2.

 

[wizenheimer]

We are 0-3 against OKC, not 1-2.

thanks...I'll fix that

 

[Chris Craig]

 

[jlprk]

Link

SOS doesn't mean much, since it doesn't factor road vs. home games.

Also, a classical trick there, cutting off the bottom 10 teams to make it look like Portland has the 4th-easiest SOS. Click the link to see the whole picture.

 

[Hoopguru]

SOS doesn't mean much, since it doesn't factor road vs. home games.

Also, a classical trick there, cutting off the bottom 10 teams to make it look like Portland has the 4th-easiest SOS. Click the link to see the whole picture.

Middle of the pack, right where you want to be!

 

[Hoopguru]

SOS doesn't mean much, since it doesn't factor road vs. home games.

Also, a classical trick there, cutting off the bottom 10 teams to make it look like Portland has the 4th-easiest SOS. Click the link to see the whole picture.

Good you imagine PDX fans watch 162 MLB games and missing the offs by 1 game or 10 years?

 

[THE HCP]

Damn! This streak of 30+ scoring has really boosted Harden’s PPG!!!

 

[TBpup]

Without taking the Road vs Home schedule into account, given how poorly Portland has done on the road, the S0S means little to me.

 

[TBpup]

A small market team like the Padres just signed superstar Manny Machado. Would be nice if Portland could make a move even close to that.

 

[James lamphear]

After the OKC game the schedule starts really start get easy. We could go on big winning streak. If I counted right we could between 47-49 by the end of the season.

 

[jlprk]

What a list of 10 poor efforts. Only 10 lines for the 43 years they've had the 3-point shot to pad their stats?

If you add the 16 years before that, you'd add 14 lines...7 lines for Chamberlain, 3 lines for Baylor, and 4 lines for other players. You'd see 24 lines instead of only 10...and that was without the 3-point shot.

http://bkref.com/tiny/SPy1Z

 

[BonesJones]

Link

Before looking below, Im expecting the classic Wizenheimer "But...But...Road games!".

 

[BonesJones]

just a little perspective on those numbers, compare Denver (.540) and Portland (.493). That looks like a significant difference, but how significant is it?

both teams have 25 games remaining. That means Denver's remaining opponents have an average record of 13.5-11.5. Portland's opponents have an average record of 12.3-12.7. In effect it could be as close as 13-12 vs 12-13. Further, Denver has a 12-13 home/road ratio left while Portland has a 9-16 home/road imbalance. All in all, it doesn't seem like the differential between the two teams is as significant as that list makes it out to be

OKC has the toughest schedule; their opponents have a 14-11 average record (14.3-10.7). But they do have a 14-10 home/road advantage

Utah has the 2nd easiest remaining SOS and is 2 games behind Portland. Their opponents have an average record of 11-14. They have a slight 13-12 home/road advantage

The NW division is a grinder. Tiebreakers are critical, which means division records are huge:

Denver 7-1
OKC 5-4
Utah 5-6
Portland 4-8

best Portland could do is 8-8. They have a home game left against OKC (trail 0-3); and away game against Minny; and a away/home on a weekend left against Denver (trail 0-2). Blazers 2-2 against Utah. Portland is not looking good for any tie-breaker right now, but possibly that could change. Blazers are 5 games behind Denver and 2 behind OKC

Oh, something different!

We play a lot of weak Eastern teams during this stretch, which are worse than their record indicates. A Western team with a 32-25 record is better than an Eastern team with a 32-25 record.

 

[THE HCP]

A small market team like the Padres just signed superstar Manny Machado. Would be nice if Portland could make a move even close to that.

How good is his low post game and his pick n roll defense?

 

[jlprk]

We play a lot of weak Eastern teams during this stretch, which are worse than their record indicates. A Western team with a 32-25 record is better than an Eastern team with a 32-25 record.

That's already factored into SOS. Read the definition of Strength of Schedule.

 

[THE HCP]

I do wish at some time we could make the playoffs one big pool 1-16 instead of by conference.

 

[Rhal]

Damn! This streak of 30+ scoring has really boosted Harden’s PPG!!!

This just shows how the 3p line effects scoring. Micheals best two seasons were the two seasons he took the most 3's, as was Iversons, Bryants and Gervins. Hardin has already taken more 3's this year then last year when he shattered his 3 record for a season.
5 Jordan seasons: 692 3's take
KB: 518
Gervins: 102
Iversons: 223
King: 10
Bryant: 518
Hardin: 733 with 25 games left. If he continues to shoot his avg of 13.6 a game he will end with 1073
If this continues then Hardin will shoot over 2/3rds of the amount of 3's combined by the other 9 players seasons on that list which add up to 1545

 

[hoopsjock]

I do wish at some time we could make the playoffs one big pool 1-16 instead of by conference.

Boo, horrible idea in my opinion.

 

[LayneStaley]

A small market team like the Padres just signed superstar Manny Machado. Would be nice if Portland could make a move even close to that.

Having the weather, women, and night life of San Diego would help

 

[Strenuus]

A small market team like the Padres just signed superstar Manny Machado. Would be nice if Portland could make a move even close to that.

It's nice when there's no salary cap. Things like that can happen.

Can't compare the two.

 

[BonesJones]

Without taking the Road vs Home schedule into account, given how poorly Portland has done on the road, the S0S means little to me.

A lot of our road games are against legitimate bottom feeders though, and/or teams that don't really have a HCA. Part of the reason our road schedule isn't better, and part of the reason it's not indicative of the stretch to come.

Out of our 16 remaining road games, we play:
True bottom feeders: CLE, ATL, CHI, MEM, NOP
Borderline Playoff Teams: CHA, DET, MIN, LAL, LAC, BKN, SAS
Though Games: TOR, PHI, BOS, DEN

This stretch isn't tough at all, especially after the 4th game on this upcoming trip. Even with how bad weve played on the road, I don't see us finishing worse than 8-8 over that stretch, and we should go 10-6 (Win ever game verse bottom feeders, 4-3 against borderline playoff teams [3 of them are Eastern], and steal 1 of the tough games. Go 6-3 at home and we're at 50 wins.

The over/under should be around 50.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

A lot of our road games are against legitimate bottom feeders though, and/or teams that don't really have a HCA. Part of the reason our road schedule isn't better, and part of the reason it's not indicative of the stretch to come.

Out of our 16 remaining road games, we play:
True bottom feeders: CLE, ATL, CHI, MEM, NOP
Borderline Playoff Teams: CHA, DET, MIN, LAL, LAC, BKN, SAS
Though Games: TOR, PHI, BOS, DEN

This stretch isn't tough at all, especially after the 4th game on this upcoming trip. Even with how bad weve played on the road, I don't see us finishing worse than 8-8 over that stretch, and we should go 10-6 (Win ever game verse bottom feeders, 4-3 against borderline playoff teams [3 of them are Eastern], and steal 1 of the tough games. Go 6-3 at home and we're at 50 wins.

The over/under should be around 50.

... which may well be just good enough for the 5 seed and a matchup with the Rockets.

 

[TorturedBlazerFan]

... which may well be just good enough for the 5 seed and a matchup with the Rockets.

That works out for me.

 

[ripcityboy]

How good is his low post game and his pick n roll defense?

Wow. You said something about baseball that wasn't immediately derogatory. I should give you a cookie for that!

 

[BonesJones]

... which may well be just good enough for the 5 seed and a matchup with the Rockets.

They're on pace for 47 wins.