Salary Cap Space: Portland

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Scalma

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https://www.slamonline.com/nba/portland-trail-blazers-salary-cap-space-2020/

Other things that are not yet known are the salary cap and luxury tax figures that teams will need to abide by in 2020-21. Our own Keith Smith has assumed a $109 million salary cap with a $139 million luxury tax threshold from his reporting on the subject and its those figures that will populate the data contained within this series of posts.

Projected Roster Players
Trevor Ariza $12,800,000 $1,800,000 Guaranteed
Zach Collins $5,406,255 Guaranteed
Mario Hezonja $1,977,011 UFA, PO
Rodney Hood $6,003,900 UFA, PO
Damian Lillard $31,626,953 Guaranteed
Nassir Little $2,210,640 Guaranteed
C.J. McCollum $29,354,152 Guaranteed
Jusuf Nurkic $12,888,889 Guaranteed
Anfernee Simons $2,252,040 Guaranteed
Gary Trent Jr. $1,663,861 Guaranteed
Projected Free Agents
Carmelo Anthony $1,620,564 Cap Hold – UFA
Moses Brown $1,445,697 Cap Hold – RFA, 2W
Wenyen Gabriel $1,620,564 Cap Hold – UFA
Jaylen Hoard $1,445,697 Cap Hold – RFA, 2W
Caleb Swanigan $3,665,787 Cap Hold – UFA
Hassan Whiteside $32,742,000 Cap Hold – UFA
Dead Money
Andrew Nicholson $2,844,430
Anderson Varejao $1,913,345
2020 NBA Draft Picks
2020 Pick #16 $3,121,080
2020 Pick #46 No Cap Hold
Exceptions Available
  • Non-Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception – $9,258,000
  • Bi-Annual Exception – $3,623,000
Key Offseason Decisions
  • Will Portland bring back Trevor Ariza or waive him for just $1.8M? Ariza’s absence was felt when the Trail Blazers needed a bigger 3&D forward. He’s a nice fit alongside Portland’s stars because Ariza doesn’t need the ball, but can knock down shots. The Blazers aren’t so tight to the tax this year, so expect him to be back.
  • Is Zach Collins worthy of an extension? Portland would love to get Collins locked up on a team-friendly deal. But it would have to be very team-friendly for it to be worth it for them. Expect Collins to bet on himself and then hit a better restricted market in 2021.
Projected Team Salary
$156,602,865

For the first time in a while, the Trail Blazers aren’t dancing around the luxury tax line. They could even have some cap space, if they chose to clear their books of all their non-guaranteed salaries. As it stands though, Portland will probably stay over. With the ability to use the full Non-Taxpayer MLE, and maybe even the Bi-Annual Exception too, the Blazers should be able to rebuild their depth.
 
Would the full MLE be enough to land Ibaka?

Other FAs I like with the MLE
Millsap
Jae Crowder
Favors
Dunn

Yeah there’s a theme. Defense.
 
im guessing he’ll either find a starting job or go back to Spain.
Pretty sure I read he's going to play for Barcelona. Maybe with Pau as well?
 
Pretty sure I read he's going to play for Barcelona. Maybe with Pau as well?

Pau said that story of his brother going to Barca wasn’t true. It could still happen, but if he gets an offer to start in the nba, I don’t see him passing. Couple teams seem like a fit to me: Dallas, Boston, Golden State just off the top.
 
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Pau said that story of his brother going to Barca wasn’t true. It could still happen, but if he gets an offer to start in the nba, I don’t see him passing. Couple teams seem like a fit to me: Dallas, Boston, Golden State just off the top.
Ah, right on. I saw the headline, hadn't seen any follow up or bothered to look, thanks for the correction!
 
Ibaka or Crowder are the two Id go after.

yeah I would take either of them over Melo. I like Melo, supported the idea of signing him, but with dame and CJ in the backcourt, we really need guys that are more like Ariza and less like Melo. Good defenders that can knock down open shots.
 
This line worries me, because Portland is in a no-win situation with Collins.

  • Is Zach Collins worthy of an extension? Portland would love to get Collins locked up on a team-friendly deal. But it would have to be very team-friendly for it to be worth it for them. Expect Collins to bet on himself and then hit a better restricted market in 2021.
If Portland signs him to a team-friendly extension but he doesn't improve then we're stuck with another Meyers Leonard/Maurice Harkless contract on our hands.
If Portland decides to keep Zach but he bets on himself and has a tremendous year, there's a chance a team throws a toxic offer at Collins or we simply sign him outright for $10+ million.
If Portland doesn't want to chance a RFA scenario, they can look to trade Zach this offseason but his value is somewhat low.

With Dame and CJ locking up $75 million of the cap, Trent needing a payday next summer, and Nurk eyeing one as well the summer after, the Trail Blazers will have well over $100 million committed to just four players. If that scenario plays out, Portland must fill out the roster with cost-effective deals unless they want to go deep into the repeater tax.

I don't project Zach as a 4 in the modern NBA. We already have Nurkic and there are efficient avenues at obtaining backup centers (TPE), so I'm not sure there's a role for Collins to fill. Although his value is lower than it was this time last year, I'd look to use him as one of our few realistic trade pieces. We could even Moneyball it, and use Zach to move up in a draft to acquire a long-term asset and have that player on a team-friendly deal for 3+ seasons.
 
This line worries me, because Portland is in a no-win situation with Collins.

  • Is Zach Collins worthy of an extension? Portland would love to get Collins locked up on a team-friendly deal. But it would have to be very team-friendly for it to be worth it for them. Expect Collins to bet on himself and then hit a better restricted market in 2021.
If Portland signs him to a team-friendly extension but he doesn't improve then we're stuck with another Meyers Leonard/Maurice Harkless contract on our hands.
If Portland decides to keep Zach but he bets on himself and has a tremendous year, there's a chance a team throws a toxic offer at Collins or we simply sign him outright for $10+ million.
If Portland doesn't want to chance a RFA scenario, they can look to trade Zach this offseason but his value is somewhat low.

With Dame and CJ locking up $75 million of the cap, Trent needing a payday next summer, and Nurk eyeing one as well the summer after, the Trail Blazers will have well over $100 million committed to just four players. If that scenario plays out, Portland must fill out the roster with cost-effective deals unless they want to go deep into the repeater tax.

I don't project Zach as a 4 in the modern NBA. We already have Nurkic and there are efficient avenues at obtaining backup centers (TPE), so I'm not sure there's a role for Collins to fill. Although his value is lower than it was this time last year, I'd look to use him as one of our few realistic trade pieces. We could even Moneyball it, and use Zach to move up in a draft to acquire a long-term asset and have that player on a team-friendly deal for 3+ seasons.
If we can use Zach and even a future draft pick with #16 to move up to get Obi Toppin then we should and that's if Toppin slips out of the top 4, other than that I don't know if there is another guy we could use Zach to move up and get in the 5-8 range that would have a good enough impact to help Dame now. Obviously all signs point towards the correct move being trade CJ but that is my default setting.
 
When it comes to Zach, I would just make him prove himself, because at the end of the day he’s still just a RFA, so Portland still controls him to a certain extent. My gut says he’s not gonna be the type of player teams line up to throw max offers at.
 
Shams is reporting Rondo will turn down his player option (2.7m) and hit the market. Says the lakers want him back but other playoff teams will call.

How about the BAE for Rondo?
 
Shams is reporting Rondo will turn down his player option (2.7m) and hit the market. Says the lakers want him back but other playoff teams will call.

How about the BAE for Rondo?

I heard this. Why would he want to leave though? The Lakers are Champions. May very well be next season.
 
https://www.slamonline.com/nba/portland-trail-blazers-salary-cap-space-2020/

Other things that are not yet known are the salary cap and luxury tax figures that teams will need to abide by in 2020-21. Our own Keith Smith has assumed a $109 million salary cap with a $139 million luxury tax threshold from his reporting on the subject and its those figures that will populate the data contained within this series of posts.

Projected Roster Players
Trevor Ariza $12,800,000 $1,800,000 Guaranteed
Zach Collins $5,406,255 Guaranteed
Mario Hezonja $1,977,011 UFA, PO
Rodney Hood $6,003,900 UFA, PO
Damian Lillard $31,626,953 Guaranteed
Nassir Little $2,210,640 Guaranteed
C.J. McCollum $29,354,152 Guaranteed
Jusuf Nurkic $12,888,889 Guaranteed
Anfernee Simons $2,252,040 Guaranteed
Gary Trent Jr. $1,663,861 Guaranteed
Projected Free Agents
Carmelo Anthony $1,620,564 Cap Hold – UFA
Moses Brown $1,445,697 Cap Hold – RFA, 2W
Wenyen Gabriel $1,620,564 Cap Hold – UFA
Jaylen Hoard $1,445,697 Cap Hold – RFA, 2W
Caleb Swanigan $3,665,787 Cap Hold – UFA
Hassan Whiteside $32,742,000 Cap Hold – UFA
Dead Money
Andrew Nicholson $2,844,430
Anderson Varejao $1,913,345
2020 NBA Draft Picks
2020 Pick #16 $3,121,080
2020 Pick #46 No Cap Hold
Exceptions Available
  • Non-Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception – $9,258,000
  • Bi-Annual Exception – $3,623,000
Key Offseason Decisions
  • Will Portland bring back Trevor Ariza or waive him for just $1.8M? Ariza’s absence was felt when the Trail Blazers needed a bigger 3&D forward. He’s a nice fit alongside Portland’s stars because Ariza doesn’t need the ball, but can knock down shots. The Blazers aren’t so tight to the tax this year, so expect him to be back.
  • Is Zach Collins worthy of an extension? Portland would love to get Collins locked up on a team-friendly deal. But it would have to be very team-friendly for it to be worth it for them. Expect Collins to bet on himself and then hit a better restricted market in 2021.
Projected Team Salary
$156,602,865

For the first time in a while, the Trail Blazers aren’t dancing around the luxury tax line. They could even have some cap space, if they chose to clear their books of all their non-guaranteed salaries. As it stands though, Portland will probably stay over. With the ability to use the full Non-Taxpayer MLE, and maybe even the Bi-Annual Exception too, the Blazers should be able to rebuild their depth.

You let Whiteside walk. You let Swanigan and Brown walk. You keep Ariza. You resign Melo and Gabriel. Maybe Hoard. You are up to about $121 million in salary including returning salary, resigning a few players, the 16th pick, and dead salaries.

You use the $7.1 TPE and MLE to upgrade the bench. You come in just below the luxury.
 
You let Whiteside walk. You let Swanigan and Brown walk. You keep Ariza. You resign Melo and Gabriel. Maybe Hoard. You are up to about $121 million in salary including returning salary, resigning a few players, the 16th pick, and dead salaries.

You use the $7.1 TPE and MLE to upgrade the bench. You come in just below the luxury.
I hate it but that is very very likely what Olshey does. It does not make us a contender for anything but HCA and a second round exit.
 
I hate it but that is very very likely what Olshey does. It does not make us a contender for anything but HCA and a second round exit.

It's what the Blazers have short of a big trade which I don't see happening
 
It's what the Blazers have short of a big trade which I don't see happening
I'm with you. I just want a big trade even though you are right, there is very little if any chance of that happening.
 
I'm with you. I just want a big trade even though you are right, there is very little if any chance of that happening.
I am getting bored with this team, no big changes and I'm pretty much gone
 
I am getting bored with this team, no big changes and I'm pretty much gone
I appreciate that you are unhappy with this roster especially if you see the Dame/CJ back court as the nightmare that I do. That being said, if you being a fan of the Blazers is based on what moves we make or how good we are, then please be my guest and find another team that you can maybe be a real fan of. I would suggest the Lakers or Celtics... they have rich histories and are never complacent unless they are in the finals.
 
Why couldn't there be a big trade? Ive been an NBA fan for 60 years and seen many big trades. I think everyone on the team is tradable except maybe Dame. And actually Dame is tradable for the right young super star and some.
 
Where the hell are they getting a team salary of 156 million!?
 
Here's my ideal off-season scenario:
(Keep in mind I have minimal salary cap knowledge. I'm sure there are lots of mistakes here.)

Locked in Salary:
(pg) Lillard
(sg) McCollum
(c) Nurkic
(sf) Hood
(pf) Collins
Simons
Little
Hezonja
Trent Jr
Pick #16
- draft Vernon Carey, Jalen Smith, Saddiq Bey, Aaron Nesmith, Josh Green, or Devon Dotson.

That's approximately $102M Guaranteed for 10 player.
(That includes 'dead money' for Varejao and Nichols, and Ariza's guaranteed $1.8M.)

Pick up the team option for Ariza. That adds $11M.
(That's 11 players at $113M. Tax at $139M)

Sign Whiteside to $10M 2-yr contract. Use bird rights. $10M is more than the $9.2M MLE that most teams could offer.
(That's 12 player at $123M.)

Use BAE to sign Anthony to $3.6M 2-yr contract. That's more than the vet minimum ($2.7M) that most teams will be willing to offer him. Finish up his career in Portland.
(That's 13 players at $127M.)

Sign Gabriel to minimum $1.6M.
(That's 14 players at $129M.)

That leaves the Blazers $10M under the tax line and able to use the full $9.3M MLE. Here are some of my targets:
- Joe Harris, 6'6", 29 yo. Previous contract $7.7M.
- Bogdan Bogdanovic, 6'6", 28 yo. Previous contract $9.0M. (restricted, SAC may blink)
- Goran Dragic, 6'3", 34 yo. Previous contract $19M. (What the hell. We can ask.)
- Jeff Teague, 6'3", 32 yo. Previous contract $19M. (We might as well try.)
If we can't land any of those guys, I'd offer part of the MLE to: Christian Wood, Rajon Rondo, Isaiah Thomas, or DJ Augustin.

Keep the team healthy, and I think they can go deep.

upload_2020-10-18_23-6-27.png
 
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I hate it but that is very very likely what Olshey does. It does not make us a contender for anything but HCA and a second round exit.
As long us it gets us in the running for a top 4 seed and sets us up to make a splash at the deadline, I'm happy with it.

Returning this same team would be a disaster though.
 
Here's my 'ideal' off-season scenario:
(Keep in mind I have minimal salary cap knowledge. I'm sure there are lots of mistakes here.)

Locked in Salary:
Lillard
McCollum
Nurkic
Hood
Collins
Simons
Little
Hezonja
Trent Jr
Pick #16 - draft Vernon Carey, Jalen Smith, Saddiq Bey, Aaron Nesmith, Josh Green, or Nico Mannion.

That's approximately $102M Guaranteed for 10 player.

Pick up the team option for Ariza. That adds $11M.
(That's 11 players at $113M. Tax at $139M)

Sign Whiteside to $10M 2-yr contract. Use bird rights. $10M is more than the $9.2M MLE that most teams could offer.
(That's 12 player at $123M.)

Use BAE to sign Anthony to $3.6M 2-yr contract. That's more than the vet minimum ($2.7M) that most teams will be willing to offer him. Finish up his career in Portland.
(That's 13 players at $127M.)

Sing Gabriel to minimum $1.6M.
(That's 14 players at $129M.)

That leaves the Blazers under the tax line and able to use the full $9.3M MLE. Here a some of my targets:
- Joe Harris, 6'6", 29 yo. Previous contract $7.7M.
- Bogdan Bogdanovic, 6'6", 28 yo. Previous contract $9.0M. (restricted, SAC may blink)
- Goran Dragic, 6'3", 34 yo. Previous contract $19M. (What the hell. We can ask.)
- Jeff Teague, 6'3", 32 yo. Previous contract $19M. (We might as well try.)
If we can't land any of those guys, I'd offer part of the MLE to: Christian Wood, Rajon Rondo, Isaiah Thomas, or DJ Augustin.

Keep the team healthy, and I think they can go deep.

View attachment 34197
Are you counting dead money?
 
Simple, ideal off-season.

Trade one or two 2nds for Bjelica (TPE)

Use the MLE on a Harkless type of wing (1 year deal prefered)

Starters:
Lillard / McCollum / Ariza / Harkless / Nurk
Bench:
McCollum / Trent / Hood / Bjelica / Collins

Them we have the expiring contracts of Ariza, Harkless, Bjelica, and Collins to make a splash move(s) at the deadline.
 
Simple, ideal off-season.

Trade one or two 2nds for Bjelica (TPE)

Use the MLE on a Harkless type of wing (1 year deal prefered)

Starters:
Lillard / McCollum / Ariza / Harkless / Nurk
Bench:
McCollum / Trent / Hood / Bjelica / Collins

Them we have the expiring contracts of Ariza, Harkless, Bjelica, and Collins to make a splash move(s) at the deadline.
Could also swap Ariza and a 1st for Fournier and start Hood if hes ready.

Starters:
Lillard / McCollum / Hood / Harkless / Nurk
Bench:
McCollum / Trent / Fournier / Bjelica / Collins
 

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