wizenheimer
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I think we would get a huge net positive return on CJ if we got him to one of the few teams that could use him and value him. The reason being is that the Dame/CJ combo is less than the sum of their talent. CJ takes possessions away from Dame and vice versa, neither are great defenders (CJ is horrible) especially guarding bigger guards, both need the ball in their hands to be effective, they just don't compliment each other at all unless were talking about giving each other praise and then they are incredibly complimentary. This team has a lot of talent actually if we cash in what value CJ has and abandon the Dame/CJ failure.
Nurk is already good but he's going to be a really effective player in this league for a while. I still think Zach has a lot to contribute as an athletic role playing big who has good form on his jumper. Nas is going to be really good. If Hood comes back he's another positive. If we can lock Gary up for a long time he is going to be the kind of contributor that helps win championships. Ariza has value both as talent now and an expiring contract. We have the MLE, all of our draft picks and supposedly Melo will sign min level contract for next season. As far as both the Stoffence and Tefence go, exchange CJ for a defensive ball hawking wing who only has to score on the break and hit wide open spot up threes. If we did that we would be able to force like 8 more turnovers a game leading to transition offense opportunities, we'd stop having constant blow buys putting our bigs in bad positions and if we did score more fast break points it would make our half court offense more potent because it wouldn't be our only scoring weapon (oh and we actually, as has been pointed out, use the p&r all of the time not iso and would iso even less without CJ).
I don't think too many teams would give up good value for CJ, especially not with his contract
as has been mentioned many times, his best fit would probably be on a team that has an unorthodox wing as the primary ball-handler and facilitator. Like Philly with Simmons, or Milwaukee with Giannis. I'd also point at Dallas with Doncic, and yuck, even the Lakers with Lebron
the problem is that Philly won't be trading Simmons for CJ and Dallas won't trade Porzingas for CJ. And I seriously doubt the Bucks would trade Middleton for CJ. So that would leave targets like Tobias Harris (worse contract than CJ), Eric Bledsoe, Tim Hardaway, etc. and that's before trying to match salaries. Seems like it would almost have to be a 3-team trade to get the wheels greased enough. And of course in order for the Blazers to consider trading CJ, the biggest wheel needing grease would be the wheel that takes Olshey out of town
I posted those PnR and isolation stats because there was discussion about the offense, and when I looked it up I was a little surprised just how good the Blazers were at it. 2nd in frequency and best ppp in the league. I guess I should have not been surprised because Dame is so very good at the PnR and that makes up nearly 52% of his possessions. It's no wonder then that teams jump the Blazer PnR with Dame in the playoffs. It's Portland's best offense
the disappointing component in the PnR is how weak Blazer post men are as the rollers. Whiteside averaged 1.16 ppp; that was 27% of his possessions and that was only good enough for the 61st percentile. Nurkic only averaged .86 ppp (20.4% of possessions) and that was a dismal 18th percentile. Nurkic was better last season but was only at 1.13 PPP (25% of possessions) and that was only the 60th percentile. Meyers was best at it averaging 1.31 ppp, which was the 86th percentile. But obviously, the numbers don't distinguish between PnR and PnPop. This season, Skal and Tolliver were best as roll men averaging 1.21 PPP
but I think we've all seen that Nurkic has a major flaw on shots around the rim. He throws up a ton of not-a-chance-in-hell shots inside 7 feet, and he has no patience at all. He absolutely must get a lot better at that because if he did get better, trapping Dame would be more difficult for the opposing defenses if Nurkic made them pay a heavier price....if that makes any sense
