Am I alone in being totally okay with Norm leaving?
Yep.
He won't be worth the contract he gets and people will immediately start bitching about it.
At $18-$20/yr, he will be worth it. If it's a contract that's $28+, then you may have a point.
And he didn't turn us into a contender, he turned us from maybe a 7 seed into a 6 seed.
And that is a surprise to you? That is one hell of a lofty goal for a mid-tier starter.
Everyone seems to think he'll be worth it just as soon as we get rid of CJ, but CJ is a better shooter, better dribbler, better passer, and Norm's defense isn't half what it's cut out to be (except in patches - he's like a streak defender). There's a reason he never became a full-time starter in Toronto.
In a vacuum, CJ is the better player. For the Blazers (playing next to Dame), Norm is the
better FIT. CJ is the better dribbler & passer (when he chooses to be), but I don't see a significant difference in shooting (their TS% is nearly identical). Norm's defense isn't lock-down level, but it's a significant upgrade from CJ's.
Plus CJ's not going anywhere. I have yet to see one remotely plausible trade idea for CJ. (Also: the number of people who (a) think Norm > CJ and (b) think nonetheless that the team that gave us Norm will gladly swap their core frontcourt player for CJ is not the zero it should be.)
You're probably correct here. Olshey most likely is not going to trade CJ. I also don't see Toronto wanting CJ...
Yes, I get it: if he goes, we're still over the cap, so keep him, right? Well, I'd prefer to give his minutes to Nas and Anfernee (who actually outperformed him in many measures). Maybe if he was five inches taller he'd be a really solid SF. But he isn't.
Correct. Norm is not a SF... and that's the issue.
The drop-off between CJ -> Norm is less than the drop off between Norm -> Little/Ant. If we can trade CJ for a legit PF, we can field a better team.
Which team would you rather have?
Team A) Dame, CJ, (unknown SF - using the MLE), RoCo, Nurk
Team B) Dame, Norm, RoCo, Wood, Nurk (assuming we trade CJ to NYK for assets that get routed to HOU for Wood).
I'm hoping for a sign-and-trade, myself.
What realistic options do you anticipate this year? What teams out there would be willing to give something of value to S&T Norm to a $20M contract?
I'd expect most of the ones who would be interested could just sign him outright.