blgridesagain
team player
- Joined
- Aug 7, 2013
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fwiw, if Trump does not secure the nomination ahead of time or if he does not win it on the first ballot, he is screwed.
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I hear ya loud and clear and this hasn't been a secret.
We know the GOP wants him OUT.
But (imo) the probable results of the GOP convention is going to leave them between a rock and a hard place as Trump HAS energized the GOP turnout and if, if he is turned away while having a large delegate lead, there's going to be ALOT of GOP voters, possible crossovers / Independents and blue collars staying home in disappointment and anger harming Cruz (?) and giving Hillary a relatively easy victory.
The 1976 GOP convention wasn't similiar with totally different dynamics.
Ford was already a sitting President entering the convention with approx 1180 delegates to Reagan's 1069......."close" but Ford's victory/selection was quite understandable and reasonable in retrospect.
My opinion, if Trump gets ousted at the convention while having a very sizeable delegate lead AND not far from the 1237 -- Cruz, or whomever the choice is will suffer because of the legions of Trump voters staying HOME on election day.
Hey, who knows, maybe Cruz will surge and pull even or take a lead over Trump in the coming primaries. We'll see how things turn out.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
I hear ya loud and clear and this hasn't been a secret.
We know the GOP wants him OUT.
But (imo) the probable results of the GOP convention is going to leave them between a rock and a hard place as Trump HAS energized the GOP turnout and if, if he is turned away while having a large delegate lead, there's going to be ALOT of GOP voters, possible crossovers / Independents and blue collars staying home in disappointment and anger harming Cruz (?) and giving Hillary a relatively easy victory.
The 1976 GOP convention wasn't similiar with totally different dynamics.
Ford was already a sitting President entering the convention with approx 1180 delegates to Reagan's 1069......."close" but Ford's victory/selection was quite understandable and reasonable in retrospect.
My opinion, if Trump gets ousted at the convention while having a very sizeable delegate lead AND not far from the 1237 -- Cruz, or whomever the choice is will suffer because of the legions of Trump voters staying HOME on election day.
Hey, who knows, maybe Cruz will surge and pull even or take a lead over Trump in the coming primaries. We'll see how things turn out.
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