Here is another scenario I'll list, starting with the addition picks;
4 First round picks unprotected (2028 Miami, 2030 Miami, 2027 Phx from Brooklyn, 2024 Miami*)
3 second round picks - 2026 2029 2030 from Miami (not pictured below)
2 pick swaps unprotected (2027 and 2029 from Miami)
- Jaquez can't be traded for 30 days so this trade can be agreed to in principle then officially get completed July 31st
- Caleb Martin likely goes to a 3rd team contender in this trade, later in the summer, or by the deadline for 1-2 first round picks.
- The Dinwiddle-Lowry PG swap is done primarily to match $$$ so nobody has to take on Duncan Robinsons contract and Miami is still below the 2nd apron. There are alternatives such as Lowry going to PDX instead for Nurk and Little.
- If Brooklyn doesn't want this type of deal Mia/PDX can shop other 3rd teams such as the Spurs. The Blazers getting a 2027 first from the 3rd team allows them to guarantee the availability of the 2027 pick swap with Miami.
- Blazers would be a bit closer to the tax line with this deal depending on how Grants contract is structured or Thybulle being resigned. If a bit more luxury tax room is needed the Blazers could get Martin sent out to a trade exception or send out Little/Keon in this trade.
- There is huge value in owning Miami draft equity unprotected all four years of 2027-2030. Once Dame and Butler decline that franchise could start panicking since they don't have control of any first round picks leading to more win now moves which sort of makes a self fulfilling prophecy of them eventually going deep into the lottery.
*Miami 2024 pick would be freed to trade if OKC accepts modification of their 2025 protected pick they are owed from Miami which is delayed until 2026 if not conveyed in 2025. OKC could be given unprotected 2026 pick instead and that would free up Miami to give the Blazers their 2024 pick. In theory OKC should have to give up value for this benefit, such as a second round pick going to Portland